Sat, Mar 14, 2026
11:00 PM
FinalRegular season
KeyBank Center
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
TOR 32%68% BUF
Probable score
3 - 5
Regulation win (home)
68%
OT / shootout probability
12%
Elo home / away
1541 / 1503
1 injured/absent player(s) excluded from predictions.
Likely goal scorers
1/6 correct
Alex Tuch0.57 goal · 44%0
Tage Thompson0.54 goal · 42%0
Jason Zucker0.41 goal · 34%0
Josh Norris0.39 goal · 32%0
Jack Quinn0.36 goal · 30%1
Josh Doan0.33 goal · 28%0Likely goal scorers
1/6 correctAlex Tuch0.57 goal · 44%0Tage Thompson0.54 goal · 42%0Jason Zucker0.41 goal · 34%0Josh Norris0.39 goal · 32%0Jack Quinn0.36 goal · 30%1Josh Doan0.33 goal · 28%0Likely assists
1/6 correct
Rasmus Dahlin0.58 assist · 44%0
Ryan McLeod0.39 assist · 32%1Tage Thompson0.38 assist · 32%0
Bowen Byram0.34 assist · 28%0Josh Norris0.26 assist · 23%0Jack Quinn0.26 assist · 23%0Likely point getters
1/6 correctTage Thompson0.92 point · 60%0Rasmus Dahlin0.87 point · 58%0Alex Tuch0.82 point · 56%0Josh Norris0.65 point · 48%0Jack Quinn0.62 point · 46%1Jason Zucker0.60 point · 45%0Tonight's matchup
| TOR | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | G | 40 |
| 49 | A | 41 |
| 79 | PTS | 81 |
| 19.2% | S% | 14.7% |
| 19.4 | TOI | 19.2 |
Result
Scoring summary
1st period
- 02:01BUFO. Power(7)
Z. Benson (22), S. Carrick (7)
TOR 0–1 BUF - 06:09
N. Robertson (15)
TOR 1–1 BUF
2nd period
- 00:53TORM. Domi(10)
W. Nylander (40), M. Knies (39)
TOR 2–1 BUF - 11:21
N. Ostlund (15), R. McLeod (37)
TOR 2–2 BUF
Shootout
- 00:00BUFJ. QuinnTOR 2–3 BUF
Team comparison
| TOR | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 18 | Shots | 33 |
| — | Power play | 1 |
| 35 | Hits | 21 |
| 22 | Blocked shots | 9 |
| 19 | PIM | 15 |
