Sat, Mar 7, 2026
12:00 AM
FinalRegular season
Scotiabank Arena
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
TBL 59%41% TOR
Probable score
4 - 3
Regulation win (home)
31%
OT / shootout probability
15%
Elo home / away
1507 / 1582
1 injured/absent player(s) excluded from predictions.
Likely goal scorers
1/6 correct
William Nylander0.44 goal · 35%0
Nikita Kucherov0.42 goal · 34%0
Matthew Knies0.34 goal · 29%0
Brayden Point0.34 goal · 29%0
Jake Guentzel0.30 goal · 26%1
Auston Matthews0.30 goal · 26%0Likely goal scorers
1/6 correctWilliam Nylander0.44 goal · 35%0Nikita Kucherov0.42 goal · 34%0Matthew Knies0.34 goal · 29%0Brayden Point0.34 goal · 29%0Jake Guentzel0.30 goal · 26%1Auston Matthews0.30 goal · 26%0Likely assists
3/6 correctNikita Kucherov0.50 assist · 39%4William Nylander0.36 assist · 30%1Auston Matthews0.31 assist · 27%0Jake Guentzel0.29 assist · 25%1Matthew Knies0.27 assist · 23%0
Darren Raddysh0.26 assist · 23%0Likely point getters
4/6 correctNikita Kucherov0.92 point · 60%4William Nylander0.80 point · 55%1Auston Matthews0.61 point · 46%0Matthew Knies0.61 point · 46%0Jake Guentzel0.59 point · 45%2Brayden Point0.57 point · 44%2Tonight's matchup
| TBL | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 44 | G | 30 |
| 86 | A | 49 |
| 130 | PTS | 79 |
| 19.0% | S% | 19.2% |
| 20.3 | TOI | 19.4 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 04:50
W. Nylander (38)
TBL 0–1 TOR - 05:36
N. Kucherov (65), B. Point (23)
TBL 1–1 TOR - 12:30
B. Point (24), N. Kucherov (66)
TBL 2–1 TOR - 13:48TBLC. Perry(12)
B. Hagel (28), A. Cirelli (21)
TBL 3–1 TOR - 15:06
N. Kucherov (67), J. Guentzel (40)
TBL 4–1 TOR
3rd period
- 15:41
A. Cirelli (22), N. Kucherov (68)
TBL 5–1 TOR - 19:29TBL 5–2 TOR
Team comparison
| TBL | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 33 | Shots | 29 |
| 1 | Power play | — |
| 26 | Hits | 22 |
| 11 | Blocked shots | 11 |
| 11 | PIM | 11 |
