Tue, Feb 3, 2026
01:30 AM
FinalRegular season
Rogers Place
Retroactive prediction
Wrong winner predicted
TOR 37%63% EDM
Probable score
3 - 4
Regulation win (home)
59%
OT / shootout probability
14%
Elo home / away
1551 / 1521
Likely goal scorers
1/6 correct
Connor McDavid0.56 goal · 43%0
Zach Hyman0.51 goal · 40%0
Leon Draisaitl0.51 goal · 40%0
Bobby McMann0.34 goal · 29%1
Evan Bouchard0.30 goal · 26%0
William Nylander0.29 goal · 25%0Likely goal scorers
1/6 correctConnor McDavid0.56 goal · 43%0Zach Hyman0.51 goal · 40%0Leon Draisaitl0.51 goal · 40%0Bobby McMann0.34 goal · 29%1Evan Bouchard0.30 goal · 26%0William Nylander0.29 goal · 25%0Likely assists
2/6 correctConnor McDavid0.64 assist · 47%0Leon Draisaitl0.56 assist · 43%0Evan Bouchard0.50 assist · 39%0
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins0.32 assist · 27%0
Auston Matthews0.26 assist · 23%1William Nylander0.26 assist · 23%1Likely point getters
2/6 correctConnor McDavid1.20 point · 70%0Leon Draisaitl1.07 point · 66%0Evan Bouchard0.80 point · 55%0Zach Hyman0.69 point · 50%0Auston Matthews0.56 point · 43%1William Nylander0.56 point · 43%1Tonight's matchup
| TOR | Stat | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | G | 48 |
| 49 | A | 90 |
| 79 | PTS | 138 |
| 19.2% | S% | 15.7% |
| 19.4 | TOI | 23.0 |
TOR 3 – 2 EDM · goal diff (home) 0.00
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
2nd period
- 07:12
J. McCabe (15)
TOR 1–0 EDM - 11:09
J. Samanski (2), J. Roslovic (9)
TOR 1–1 EDM - 11:18TORM. Knies(14)
N. Roy (15)
TOR 2–1 EDM
3rd period
- 04:27
V. Podkolzin (12), T. Emberson (10)
TOR 2–2 EDM - 07:42
W. Nylander (34), M. Knies (32)
TOR 3–2 EDM - 08:13
M. Domi (22), O. Ekman-Larsson (26)
TOR 4–2 EDM - 17:22
A. Matthews (22)
TOR 5–2 EDM
Team comparison
| TOR | Stat | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | Shots | 36 |
| 2 | Power play | — |
| 13 | Hits | 19 |
| 19 | Blocked shots | 7 |
| 9 | PIM | 21 |
