Mon, Jan 19, 2026
12:30 AM
FinalRegular season
Scotiabank Arena
Retroactive prediction
Wrong winner predicted
MIN 39%61% TOR
Probable score
3 - 4
Regulation win (home)
56%
OT / shootout probability
14%
Elo home / away
1541 / 1519
Likely goal scorers
3/6 correct
Auston Matthews0.46 goal · 37%1
Matthew Knies0.25 goal · 22%0
Kirill Kaprizov0.23 goal · 20%0
John Tavares0.23 goal · 20%1
Bobby McMann0.22 goal · 20%0
Ryan Hartman0.19 goal · 17%1Likely goal scorers
3/6 correctAuston Matthews0.46 goal · 37%1Matthew Knies0.25 goal · 22%0Kirill Kaprizov0.23 goal · 20%0John Tavares0.23 goal · 20%1Bobby McMann0.22 goal · 20%0Ryan Hartman0.19 goal · 17%1Likely assists
4/6 correct
Quinn Hughes0.37 assist · 31%2John Tavares0.27 assist · 24%0Auston Matthews0.25 assist · 22%1Kirill Kaprizov0.23 assist · 21%2Matthew Knies0.21 assist · 19%1
Morgan Rielly0.20 assist · 19%0Likely point getters
6/6 correctAuston Matthews0.71 point · 51%2John Tavares0.50 point · 39%1Quinn Hughes0.47 point · 38%2Kirill Kaprizov0.46 point · 37%2Matthew Knies0.46 point · 37%1
Mats Zuccarello0.33 point · 28%1Tonight's matchup
| MIN | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 45 | G | 30 |
| 44 | A | 49 |
| 89 | PTS | 79 |
| 16.7% | S% | 19.2% |
| 22.1 | TOI | 19.4 |
MIN 2 – 2 TOR · goal diff (home) 0.25
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 04:45
R. Hartman (9), K. Kaprizov (31)
MIN 1–0 TOR - 10:29
M. Zuccarello (18), K. Kaprizov (32)
MIN 2–0 TOR - 18:24
M. Knies (29), A. Matthews (17)
MIN 2–1 TOR
2nd period
- 06:53
B. Faber (19), Q. Hughes (38)
MIN 3–1 TOR - 08:24
Q. Hughes (39)
MIN 4–1 TOR - 19:14
B. Faber (20), D. Yurov (12)
MIN 5–1 TOR
3rd period
- 06:27
N. Roy (14), E. Cowan (9)
MIN 5–2 TOR - 15:02
M. Domi (17)
MIN 5–3 TOR - 17:22
V. Tarasenko (15), N. Sturm (6)
MIN 6–3 TOR
Team comparison
| MIN | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 39 | Shots | 30 |
| 2 | Power play | 1 |
| 21 | Hits | 23 |
| 13 | Blocked shots | 15 |
| 8 | PIM | 6 |
