Tue, Jan 6, 2026
12:30 AM
FinalRegular season
Scotiabank Arena
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
FLA 49%51% TOR
Probable score
3 - 3
Regulation win (home)
43%
OT / shootout probability
16%
Elo home / away
1535 / 1569
Likely goal scorers
2/6 correct
Auston Matthews0.35 goal · 29%1
Sam Reinhart0.30 goal · 26%0
Sam Bennett0.23 goal · 21%0
Brad Marchand0.20 goal · 18%0
Matthew Knies0.20 goal · 18%1
John Tavares0.19 goal · 17%0Likely goal scorers
2/6 correctAuston Matthews0.35 goal · 29%1Sam Reinhart0.30 goal · 26%0Sam Bennett0.23 goal · 21%0Brad Marchand0.20 goal · 18%0Matthew Knies0.20 goal · 18%1John Tavares0.19 goal · 17%0Likely assists
1/6 correctSam Reinhart0.19 assist · 18%0Brad Marchand0.18 assist · 16%0Sam Bennett0.17 assist · 15%0Auston Matthews0.17 assist · 15%0John Tavares0.17 assist · 15%1
Max Domi0.16 assist · 14%0Likely point getters
3/6 correctAuston Matthews0.51 point · 40%1Sam Reinhart0.49 point · 39%0Sam Bennett0.40 point · 33%0Brad Marchand0.38 point · 32%0John Tavares0.36 point · 30%1Matthew Knies0.34 point · 29%2Tonight's matchup
| FLA | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | G | 30 |
| 32 | A | 49 |
| 61 | PTS | 79 |
| 17.5% | S% | 19.2% |
| 21.3 | TOI | 19.4 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 19:36TORE. Cowan(5)
N. Robertson (12), N. Roy (12)
FLA 0–1 TOR
2nd period
- 00:42TORM. Knies(12)
T. Stecher (6), J. Tavares (23)
FLA 0–2 TOR - 04:01
M. Knies (26), M. Maccelli (10)
FLA 0–3 TOR
3rd period
- 11:38FLA 1–3 TOR
- 19:52
N. Roy (13)
FLA 1–4 TOR
Team comparison
| FLA | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | Shots | 23 |
| 31 | Hits | 21 |
| 10 | Blocked shots | 18 |
| 9 | PIM | 11 |
