Mon, May 5, 2025
12:00 AM
FinalPlayoffs
Scotiabank Arena
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
FLA 45%55% TOR
Probable score
3 - 3
Regulation win (home)
46%
OT / shootout probability
17%
Elo home / away
1563 / 1570
Likely goal scorers
2/6 correct
Auston Matthews0.55 goal · 42%0
Sam Reinhart0.49 goal · 39%0
John Tavares0.44 goal · 35%0
William Nylander0.42 goal · 34%2
Matthew Tkachuk0.41 goal · 33%0
Sam Bennett0.34 goal · 29%1Likely goal scorers
2/6 correctAuston Matthews0.55 goal · 42%0Sam Reinhart0.49 goal · 39%0John Tavares0.44 goal · 35%0William Nylander0.42 goal · 34%2Matthew Tkachuk0.41 goal · 33%0Sam Bennett0.34 goal · 29%1Likely assists
3/6 correct
Mitch Marner0.50 assist · 39%1
Aleksander Barkov0.40 assist · 33%0Matthew Tkachuk0.39 assist · 33%1Auston Matthews0.34 assist · 29%0
Morgan Rielly0.28 assist · 25%0William Nylander0.27 assist · 23%1Likely point getters
3/6 correctAuston Matthews0.89 point · 59%0Mitch Marner0.83 point · 56%1Matthew Tkachuk0.80 point · 55%1Sam Reinhart0.73 point · 52%0William Nylander0.69 point · 50%3John Tavares0.68 point · 49%0Tonight's matchup
| FLA | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 39 | G | 27 |
| 42 | A | 75 |
| 81 | PTS | 102 |
| 18.3% | S% | 15.6% |
| 20.5 | TOI | 21.3 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 00:33
M. Pacioretty (2), J. McCabe (2)
FLA 0–1 TOR - 12:51
O. Ekman-Larsson (1), M. Pacioretty (3)
FLA 0–2 TOR - 16:57
M. Tkachuk (3), C. Verhaeghe (2)
FLA 1–2 TOR - 17:16TORM. Rielly(3)
W. Nylander (7)
FLA 1–3 TOR
2nd period
- 07:50TORC. Tanev(1)
J. McCabe (3), M. Knies (1)
FLA 1–4 TOR
3rd period
- 01:39
A. Lundell (4), B. Marchand (5)
FLA 2–4 TOR - 04:30
N. Schmidt (1), B. Marchand (6)
FLA 3–4 TOR - 14:00TORM. Knies(4)
M. Marner (8), C. Tanev (2)
FLA 3–5 TOR - 18:05
C. Verhaeghe (3)
FLA 4–5 TOR
Team comparison
| FLA | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | Shots | 30 |
| 1 | Power play | — |
| 51 | Hits | 24 |
| 11 | Blocked shots | 24 |
| 10 | PIM | 4 |
