Lightning 5 - 1 Panthers — Recap

Sat, Apr 26, 2025

05:00 PM

FinalPlayoffs

Amerant Bank Arena

TBL

5–1

FLA

W W L L L

OL W W L L L

L OL W OL OL W W L L L

W W L L OW

W W L L OW W

W W L L OW W W L L L

Retroactive prediction

Wrong winner predicted

TBL 44%56% FLA

Probable score

3 - 3

Regulation win (home)

48%

OT / shootout probability

17%

Elo home / away

1568 / 1560

Likely goal scorers

3/6 correct

0.53 goal · 41%0

0.52 goal · 40%1

0.36 goal · 30%1

0.35 goal · 30%0

0.35 goal · 30%0

0.35 goal · 29%1

Likely goal scorers

3/6 correct

0.53 goal · 41%0

0.52 goal · 40%1

0.36 goal · 30%1

0.35 goal · 30%0

0.35 goal · 30%0

0.35 goal · 29%1

Likely assists

1/6 correct

0.47 assist · 38%0

0.47 assist · 38%0

0.43 assist · 35%3

0.39 assist · 32%0

0.31 assist · 27%0

0.27 assist · 24%0

Likely point getters

2/6 correct

0.99 point · 63%1

0.79 point · 54%3

0.76 point · 53%0

0.76 point · 53%0

0.58 point · 44%0

0.57 point · 44%0

Tonight's matchup

Nikita Kucherov

TBL · R · 78 GP

vs

Sam Reinhart

FLA · C · 79 GP

TBL	Stat	FLA
37	G	39
84	A	42
121	PTS	81
14.0%	S%	18.3%
21.2	TOI	20.5

TBL 3 – 7 FLA · goal diff (home) 0.60

Apr 24FLA2–0TBL2024-25 Apr 22FLA6–2TBL2024-25 Apr 15FLA1–5TBL2024-25 Mar 3TBL1–2FLA2024-25 Dec 23TBL4–0FLA2024-25 Dec 22FLA4–2TBL2024-25 Apr 29TBL1–6FLA2023-24 Apr 27FLA3–6TBL2023-24

Result

Three stars

1

A. Vasilevskiy

G · TBL

0G · 0A · 0P

2

J. Guentzel

C · TBL

1G · 2A · 3P

3

B. Point

C · TBL

1G · 0A · 1P

Scoring summary

1st period

02:43
FLAM. Tkachuk(3)
S. Bennett (2), E. Rodrigues (1)
TBL 0–1 FLA
17:15
TBLB. Point(2)TYING
J. Guentzel (1), N. Kucherov (2)
TBL 1–1 FLA

2nd period

13:17
TBLN. Paul(1)
G. Goncalves (2), R. McDonagh (2)
TBL 2–1 FLA

3rd period

00:21
TBLJ. Guentzel(2)
N. Kucherov (3), R. McDonagh (3)
TBL 3–1 FLA
14:19
TBLL. Glendening(1)
Y. Gourde (1), G. Goncalves (3)
TBL 4–1 FLA
15:00
TBLA. Cirelli(1)EN
J. Guentzel (2), N. Kucherov (4)
TBL 5–1 FLA

Team comparison

TBL	Stat	FLA
22	Shots	34
34	Hits	43
23	Blocked shots	17
20	PIM	25

Actual result

Goal scorers(6)

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(6)

Goal scorers(6)

Assists(7)

Points(12)