Wed, May 7, 2025
11:00 PM
FinalPlayoffs
Scotiabank Arena
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
FLA 45%55% TOR
Probable score
3 - 3
Regulation win (home)
47%
OT / shootout probability
17%
Elo home / away
1565 / 1568
Likely goal scorers
1/6 correct
Auston Matthews0.60 goal · 45%0
Sam Reinhart0.53 goal · 41%0
John Tavares0.48 goal · 38%0
William Nylander0.46 goal · 37%1
Matthew Tkachuk0.44 goal · 36%0
Sam Bennett0.37 goal · 31%0Likely goal scorers
1/6 correctAuston Matthews0.60 goal · 45%0Sam Reinhart0.53 goal · 41%0John Tavares0.48 goal · 38%0William Nylander0.46 goal · 37%1Matthew Tkachuk0.44 goal · 36%0Sam Bennett0.37 goal · 31%0Likely assists
3/6 correct
Mitch Marner0.55 assist · 42%0
Aleksander Barkov0.43 assist · 35%0Matthew Tkachuk0.43 assist · 35%0Auston Matthews0.37 assist · 31%1
Aaron Ekblad0.36 assist · 30%1
Morgan Rielly0.31 assist · 27%2Likely point getters
3/6 correctAuston Matthews0.97 point · 62%1Mitch Marner0.91 point · 60%1Matthew Tkachuk0.86 point · 58%0Sam Reinhart0.79 point · 54%0William Nylander0.75 point · 53%1John Tavares0.74 point · 52%0Tonight's matchup
| FLA | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 39 | G | 27 |
| 42 | A | 75 |
| 81 | PTS | 102 |
| 18.3% | S% | 15.6% |
| 20.5 | TOI | 21.3 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 10:58
S. Jones (2)
FLA 1–0 TOR - 18:19
M. Rielly (2), M. Domi (2)
FLA 1–1 TOR
2nd period
- 00:15
A. Lundell (5), E. Luostarinen (5)
FLA 2–1 TOR - 04:18
M. Pacioretty (4), O. Ekman-Larsson (2)
FLA 2–2 TOR - 17:09TORM. Domi(2)
S. Lorentz (1), M. Rielly (3)
FLA 2–3 TOR
3rd period
- 05:33
A. Ekblad (1), E. Luostarinen (6)
FLA 3–3 TOR - 05:50TORM. Marner(2)
J. McCabe (4), A. Matthews (6)
FLA 3–4 TOR
Team comparison
| FLA | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Shots | 20 |
| 1 | Power play | 1 |
| 39 | Hits | 41 |
| 8 | Blocked shots | 25 |
| 10 | PIM | 8 |
