Fri, May 9, 2025
11:00 PM
FinalPlayoffs
Amerant Bank Arena
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
TOR 47%53% FLA
Probable score
3 - 3
Regulation win (home)
43%
OT / shootout probability
17%
Elo home / away
1566 / 1567
Likely goal scorers
2/6 correct
Sam Reinhart0.57 goal · 43%1
Auston Matthews0.55 goal · 42%0
Matthew Tkachuk0.47 goal · 37%0
John Tavares0.46 goal · 37%2
Sam Bennett0.39 goal · 32%0
William Nylander0.36 goal · 30%0Likely goal scorers
2/6 correctSam Reinhart0.57 goal · 43%1Auston Matthews0.55 goal · 42%0Matthew Tkachuk0.47 goal · 37%0John Tavares0.46 goal · 37%2Sam Bennett0.39 goal · 32%0William Nylander0.36 goal · 30%0Likely assists
4/6 correct
Aleksander Barkov0.53 assist · 41%0
Mitch Marner0.52 assist · 40%2Matthew Tkachuk0.45 assist · 36%1
Aaron Ekblad0.42 assist · 34%1Auston Matthews0.34 assist · 28%2
Morgan Rielly0.30 assist · 26%0Likely point getters
6/6 correctMatthew Tkachuk0.92 point · 60%1Auston Matthews0.88 point · 59%2Mitch Marner0.86 point · 58%2Sam Reinhart0.85 point · 57%2Aleksander Barkov0.83 point · 56%1John Tavares0.71 point · 51%2Tonight's matchup
| TOR | Stat | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | G | 39 |
| 75 | A | 42 |
| 102 | PTS | 81 |
| 15.6% | S% | 18.3% |
| 21.3 | TOI | 20.5 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 00:23TORM. Knies(5)
A. Matthews (7), M. Marner (9)
TOR 1–0 FLA - 05:57
M. Pacioretty (5), W. Nylander (8)
TOR 2–0 FLA - 07:38FLAA. Barkov(3)
S. Reinhart (5), E. Rodrigues (2)
TOR 2–1 FLA
2nd period
- 02:52
M. Marner (10), W. Nylander (9)
TOR 3–1 FLA - 04:13
E. Rodrigues (3), A. Ekblad (2)
TOR 3–2 FLA - 05:17
S. Bennett (3), M. Tkachuk (4)
TOR 3–3 FLA - 15:07
T. Nosek (1), N. Schmidt (2)
TOR 3–4 FLA
3rd period
- 10:56
A. Matthews (8), M. Knies (2)
TOR 4–4 FLA
Overtime 1
- 15:27
D. Kulikov (3), C. Verhaeghe (4)
TOR 4–5 FLA
Team comparison
| TOR | Stat | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Shots | 36 |
| 1 | Power play | — |
| 43 | Hits | 62 |
| 20 | Blocked shots | 14 |
| 6 | PIM | 8 |
