Maple Leafs 2 - 3 Red Wings — Recap

Sun, Dec 28, 2025

12:00 AM

FinalRegular season

Little Caesars Arena

TOR

2–3

OT

DET

L L L W W

W L L L W W

OL W OL L W L L L W W

L OW OW W L

L OW OW W L W

L OW OW W L W W L W W

Retroactive prediction

Correct winner predicted

TOR 48%52% DET

Probable score

3 - 4

Regulation win (home)

47%

OT / shootout probability

16%

Elo home / away

1488 / 1533

Likely goal scorers

0/6 correct

0.28 goal · 25%0

0.28 goal · 24%0

0.23 goal · 20%0

0.20 goal · 18%0

0.17 goal · 16%0

0.16 goal · 15%0

Likely goal scorers

0/6 correct

0.28 goal · 25%0

0.28 goal · 24%0

0.23 goal · 20%0

0.20 goal · 18%0

0.17 goal · 16%0

0.16 goal · 15%0

Likely assists

1/6 correct

0.29 assist · 26%1

0.26 assist · 23%0

0.20 assist · 18%0

0.17 assist · 16%0

0.16 assist · 14%0

0.15 assist · 14%0

Likely point getters

3/6 correct

0.52 point · 41%1

0.45 point · 36%0

0.42 point · 34%0

0.40 point · 33%0

0.33 point · 28%1

0.30 point · 26%1

Tonight's matchup

John Tavares

TOR · C · 82 GP

vs

Alex DeBrincat

DET · R · 82 GP

TOR	Stat	DET
31	G	41
40	A	44
71	PTS	85
16.1%	S%	14.3%
18.2	TOI	18.5

TOR 4 – 5 DET · goal diff (home) 0.22

Oct 13DET3–2TOR2025-26 Oct 11TOR3–6DET2025-26 Apr 17DET3–4TOROT2024-25 Dec 27TOR5–2DET2024-25 Dec 14TOR2–4DET2024-25 Nov 8DET1–3TOR2024-25 Apr 13DET5–4TOROT2023-24 Jan 14DET4–2TOR2023-24

Result

Three stars

1

S. Edvinsson

D · DET

1G · 0A · 1P

2

M. Appleton

C · DET

1G · 0A · 1P

3

N. Robertson

L · TOR

1G · 0A · 1P

Scoring summary

2nd period

04:25
TORM. Knies(10)PP
A. Matthews (12), J. Tavares (19)
TOR 1–0 DET
19:01
DETM. Seider(7)TYING
L. Raymond (31)
TOR 1–1 DET

3rd period

04:53
TORN. Robertson(8)
J. Tavares (20)
TOR 2–1 DET
05:16
DETM. Appleton(4)TYING
M. Rasmussen (7), A. Johansson (5)
TOR 2–2 DET

Overtime 1

01:46
DETS. Edvinsson(5)
TOR 2–3 DET

Team comparison

TOR	Stat	DET
27	Shots	36
1	Power play	—
24	Hits	12
11	Blocked shots	14
4	PIM	6

Actual result

Goal scorers(5)

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(5)

Goal scorers(5)

Assists(5)

Points(10)