Sun, May 18, 2025
11:30 PM
FinalPlayoffs
Scotiabank Arena
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
FLA 53%47% TOR
Probable score
3 - 3
Regulation win (home)
34%
OT / shootout probability
17%
Elo home / away
1561 / 1572
Likely goal scorers
1/6 correct
Sam Reinhart0.63 goal · 47%1
Auston Matthews0.54 goal · 42%0
Matthew Tkachuk0.52 goal · 41%0
Sam Bennett0.44 goal · 36%0
John Tavares0.43 goal · 35%0
William Nylander0.41 goal · 34%0Likely goal scorers
1/6 correctSam Reinhart0.63 goal · 47%1Auston Matthews0.54 goal · 42%0Matthew Tkachuk0.52 goal · 41%0Sam Bennett0.44 goal · 36%0John Tavares0.43 goal · 35%0William Nylander0.41 goal · 34%0Likely assists
1/6 correct
Aleksander Barkov0.51 assist · 40%2Matthew Tkachuk0.51 assist · 40%0
Mitch Marner0.49 assist · 39%0
Aaron Ekblad0.43 assist · 35%0Auston Matthews0.33 assist · 28%0Sam Reinhart0.31 assist · 26%0Likely point getters
2/6 correctMatthew Tkachuk1.03 point · 64%0Sam Reinhart0.94 point · 61%1Auston Matthews0.87 point · 58%0Mitch Marner0.82 point · 56%0Aleksander Barkov0.80 point · 55%2Sam Bennett0.69 point · 50%0Tonight's matchup
| FLA | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 39 | G | 27 |
| 42 | A | 75 |
| 81 | PTS | 102 |
| 18.3% | S% | 15.6% |
| 20.5 | TOI | 21.3 |
Result
Scoring summary
2nd period
- 03:15FLAS. Jones(3)
E. Rodrigues (4), A. Barkov (6)
FLA 1–0 TOR - 07:18
E. Luostarinen (8), B. Marchand (8)
FLA 2–0 TOR - 09:39
A. Greer (1), S. Jones (3)
FLA 3–0 TOR
3rd period
- 02:07TORM. Domi(3)
B. McMann (3)
FLA 3–1 TOR - 02:54
B. Marchand (9)
FLA 4–1 TOR - 09:24
A. Barkov (7)
FLA 5–1 TOR - 16:57
E. Luostarinen (9)
FLA 6–1 TOR
Team comparison
| FLA | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | Shots | 20 |
| 48 | Hits | 47 |
| 19 | Blocked shots | 31 |
| 0 | PIM | 0 |
