Wed, May 14, 2025
11:00 PM
FinalPlayoffs
Scotiabank Arena
Retroactive prediction
Wrong winner predicted
FLA 49%51% TOR
Probable score
3 - 3
Regulation win (home)
40%
OT / shootout probability
17%
Elo home / away
1563 / 1570
Likely goal scorers
1/6 correct
Sam Reinhart0.60 goal · 45%0
Auston Matthews0.59 goal · 44%0
Matthew Tkachuk0.50 goal · 39%0
John Tavares0.47 goal · 37%0
William Nylander0.45 goal · 36%0
Sam Bennett0.42 goal · 34%1Likely goal scorers
1/6 correctSam Reinhart0.60 goal · 45%0Auston Matthews0.59 goal · 44%0Matthew Tkachuk0.50 goal · 39%0John Tavares0.47 goal · 37%0William Nylander0.45 goal · 36%0Sam Bennett0.42 goal · 34%1Likely assists
2/6 correct
Mitch Marner0.53 assist · 41%0
Aleksander Barkov0.49 assist · 39%0Matthew Tkachuk0.49 assist · 38%1
Aaron Ekblad0.41 assist · 34%1Auston Matthews0.36 assist · 30%0
Morgan Rielly0.30 assist · 26%0Likely point getters
2/6 correctMatthew Tkachuk0.99 point · 63%1Auston Matthews0.95 point · 61%0Sam Reinhart0.90 point · 59%2Mitch Marner0.89 point · 59%0Aleksander Barkov0.77 point · 54%0William Nylander0.73 point · 52%0Tonight's matchup
| FLA | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 39 | G | 27 |
| 42 | A | 75 |
| 81 | PTS | 102 |
| 18.3% | S% | 15.6% |
| 20.5 | TOI | 21.3 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 14:38FLAA. Ekblad(2)
S. Reinhart (6), J. Boqvist (1)
FLA 1–0 TOR
2nd period
- 06:08
N. Schmidt (3), M. Tkachuk (6)
FLA 2–0 TOR - 10:05
S. Reinhart (7), G. Forsling (2)
FLA 3–0 TOR - 14:01
A. Lundell (6), E. Luostarinen (7)
FLA 4–0 TOR
3rd period
- 06:23FLAA. Greer(1)
J. Gadjovich (1), N. Schmidt (4)
FLA 5–0 TOR - 09:10
A. Ekblad (4), B. Marchand (7)
FLA 6–0 TOR - 18:54
M. Domi (3), S. Lorentz (2)
FLA 6–1 TOR
Team comparison
| FLA | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | Shots | 32 |
| 1 | Power play | — |
| 54 | Hits | 49 |
| 9 | Blocked shots | 24 |
| 40 | PIM | 30 |
