Mon, Jan 12, 2026
03:00 AM
FinalRegular season
Ball Arena
Retroactive prediction
Wrong winner predicted
TOR 29%71% COL
Probable score
2 - 4
Regulation win (home)
68%
OT / shootout probability
13%
Elo home / away
1630 / 1544
Likely goal scorers
3/6 correct
Nathan MacKinnon0.41 goal · 34%0
Brock Nelson0.28 goal · 25%1
Valeri Nichushkin0.28 goal · 25%0
Martin Necas0.25 goal · 22%1
Auston Matthews0.21 goal · 19%1
Artturi Lehkonen0.20 goal · 18%0Likely goal scorers
3/6 correctNathan MacKinnon0.41 goal · 34%0Brock Nelson0.28 goal · 25%1Valeri Nichushkin0.28 goal · 25%0Martin Necas0.25 goal · 22%1Auston Matthews0.21 goal · 19%1Artturi Lehkonen0.20 goal · 18%0Likely assists
4/6 correctNathan MacKinnon0.41 assist · 34%3
Cale Makar0.28 assist · 24%1Martin Necas0.26 assist · 23%1
Josh Manson0.22 assist · 20%0
William Nylander0.17 assist · 16%1
Ross Colton0.17 assist · 15%0Likely point getters
5/6 correctNathan MacKinnon0.82 point · 56%3Martin Necas0.51 point · 40%2Brock Nelson0.45 point · 36%1Cale Makar0.42 point · 35%2Valeri Nichushkin0.42 point · 34%0Auston Matthews0.34 point · 29%2Tonight's matchup
| TOR | Stat | COL |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | G | 53 |
| 49 | A | 74 |
| 79 | PTS | 127 |
| 19.2% | S% | 15.1% |
| 19.4 | TOI | 22.3 |
TOR 2 – 2 COL · goal diff (home) 0.75
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 11:15TORE. Cowan(7)TOR 1–0 COL
- 16:12
M. Necas (36), N. MacKinnon (43)
TOR 1–1 COL - 17:53
N. MacKinnon (44), C. Makar (39)
TOR 1–2 COL
2nd period
- 02:12TOR 2–2 COL
3rd period
- 10:24
W. Nylander (30), O. Ekman-Larsson (19)
TOR 3–2 COL - 12:55
N. MacKinnon (45)
TOR 3–3 COL
Overtime 1
- 03:59
O. Ekman-Larsson (20), A. Matthews (15)
TOR 4–3 COL
Team comparison
| TOR | Stat | COL |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Shots | 34 |
| — | Power play | 1 |
| 13 | Hits | 14 |
| 22 | Blocked shots | 12 |
| 8 | PIM | 6 |
