Avalanche 1 - 2 Maple Leafs — Recap

Wed, Mar 19, 2025

11:00 PM

FinalRegular season

Scotiabank Arena

COL

1–2

TOR

W W OL W OW

W W W OL W OW

L W W W W W W OL W OW

W L L OW L

W L L OW L L

W L L OW L L OL OW W OW

Retroactive prediction

Wrong winner predicted

COL 53%47% TOR

Probable score

4 - 3

Regulation win (home)

36%

OT / shootout probability

16%

Elo home / away

1542 / 1572

Likely goal scorers

2/6 correct

0.45 goal · 36%1

0.43 goal · 35%1

0.40 goal · 33%0

0.36 goal · 30%0

0.33 goal · 28%0

0.32 goal · 27%0

Likely goal scorers

2/6 correct

0.45 goal · 36%1

0.43 goal · 35%1

0.40 goal · 33%0

0.36 goal · 30%0

0.33 goal · 28%0

0.32 goal · 27%0

Likely assists

3/6 correct

0.49 assist · 39%1

0.44 assist · 35%1

0.41 assist · 34%0

0.37 assist · 31%0

0.33 assist · 28%1

0.24 assist · 22%0

Likely point getters

5/6 correct

0.89 point · 59%1

0.80 point · 55%1

0.78 point · 54%0

0.69 point · 50%1

0.65 point · 48%1

0.63 point · 47%1

Tonight's matchup

Nathan MacKinnon

COL · C · 79 GP

Mitch Marner

TOR · R · 81 GP

COL	Stat	TOR
32	G	27
84	A	75
116	PTS	102
10.0%	S%	15.6%
22.8	TOI	21.3

COL 3 – 2 TOR · goal diff (home) -0.20

Mar 8TOR4–7COL2024-25 Feb 24TOR4–3COL2023-24 Jan 13COL5–3TOR2023-24 Mar 15COL2–1TORSO2022-23 Dec 31TOR6–2COL2022-23

Result

Three stars

A. Matthews

C · TOR

1G · 0A · 1P

J. Woll

G · TOR

0G · 0A · 0P

S. Lorentz

C · TOR

1G · 0A · 1P

Scoring summary

2nd period

00:28
TORA. Matthews(27)PP
M. Marner (62), J. Tavares (30)
COL 0–1 TOR
02:48
COLV. Nichushkin(18)TYINGPP
N. MacKinnon (77), C. Makar (54)
COL 1–1 TOR

3rd period

02:53
TORS. Lorentz(6)SH
S. Benoit (7)
COL 1–2 TOR

Team comparison

COL	Stat	TOR
39	Shots	26
1	Power play	1
20	Hits	21
12	Blocked shots	19
6	PIM	6

Actual result

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(3)

Goal scorers(3)

Assists(5)

Points(8)