Stars 3 - 4 Avalanche — Recap

Sun, Mar 16, 2025

07:30 PM

FinalRegular season

Ball Arena

DAL

3–4

OT

COL

W OW L W L

W W OW L W L

W W L W W W OW L W L

W OL W W W

W OL W W W W

W OL W W W W W W L L

Retroactive prediction

Correct winner predicted

DAL 46%54% COL

Probable score

3 - 3

Regulation win (home)

47%

OT / shootout probability

16%

Elo home / away

1570 / 1594

Likely goal scorers

3/6 correct

Nathan MacKinnon0.48 goal · 38%0

Valeri Nichushkin0.45 goal · 36%1

Artturi Lehkonen0.38 goal · 32%0

Mikko Rantanen0.38 goal · 31%0

Martin Necas0.34 goal · 29%1

Jason Robertson0.33 goal · 28%1

Likely goal scorers

3/6 correct

Nathan MacKinnon0.48 goal · 38%0

Valeri Nichushkin0.45 goal · 36%1

Artturi Lehkonen0.38 goal · 32%0

Mikko Rantanen0.38 goal · 31%0

Martin Necas0.34 goal · 29%1

Jason Robertson0.33 goal · 28%1

Likely assists

4/6 correct

Nathan MacKinnon0.54 assist · 42%1

Cale Makar0.44 assist · 35%2

Roope Hintz0.33 assist · 28%1

Mikko Rantanen0.32 assist · 27%1

Martin Necas0.31 assist · 27%0

Matt Duchene0.28 assist · 24%0

Likely point getters

5/6 correct

Nathan MacKinnon1.02 point · 64%1

Cale Makar0.73 point · 52%3

Mikko Rantanen0.69 point · 50%1

Martin Necas0.65 point · 48%1

Artturi Lehkonen0.61 point · 46%0

Valeri Nichushkin0.60 point · 45%2

Tonight's matchup

Matt Duchene

DAL · C · 82 GP

vs

Nathan MacKinnon

COL · C · 79 GP

DAL	Stat	COL
30	G	32
52	A	84
82	PTS	116
19.7%	S%	10.0%
17.1	TOI	22.8

DAL 6 – 4 COL · goal diff (home) -0.50

Jan 18DAL3–6COL2024-25 Nov 29COL3–5DAL2024-25 May 17DAL2–1COLOT2023-24 May 15COL5–3DAL2023-24 May 13DAL5–1COL2023-24 May 11DAL4–1COL2023-24 May 9COL3–5DAL2023-24 May 7COL4–3DALOT2023-24

Result

Three stars

1

C. Makar

D · COL

1G · 2A · 3P

2

V. Nichushkin

R · COL

1G · 1A · 2P

3

J. Drouin

L · COL

1G · 1A · 2P

Scoring summary

1st period

04:10
DALJ. Robertson(29)
R. Hintz (28), M. Rantanen (45)
DAL 1–0 COL
14:09
COLM. Necas(23)TYINGPP
C. Makar (52), J. Drouin (20)
DAL 1–1 COL

2nd period

06:24
COLV. Nichushkin(17)
D. Toews (26), C. Makar (53)
DAL 1–2 COL
17:19
COLJ. Drouin(10)
S. Malinski (8), V. Nichushkin (9)
DAL 1–3 COL

3rd period

14:12
DALM. Bourque(10)
J. Benn (25), W. Johnston (37)
DAL 2–3 COL
14:32
DALM. Duchene(26)TYING
E. Lindell (17), M. Marchment (18)
DAL 3–3 COL

Overtime 1

00:34
COLC. Makar(25)
N. MacKinnon (76), B. Nelson (25)
DAL 3–4 COL

Team comparison

DAL	Stat	COL
22	Shots	35
—	Power play	1
26	Hits	28
17	Blocked shots	13
10	PIM	2

Actual result

Goal scorers(7)

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(7)

Goal scorers(7)

Assists(13)

Points(17)