Senators 2 - 8 Avalanche — Recap

Thu, Jan 8, 2026

02:00 AM

FinalRegular season

Ball Arena

OTT

2–8

COL

L W W L L

L L W W L L

W W W OL L L W W L L

L L W W W

L L W W W OW

L L W W W OW W W W W

Retroactive prediction

Correct winner predicted

OTT 23%77% COL

Probable score

2 - 5

Regulation win (home)

75%

OT / shootout probability

11%

Elo home / away

1625 / 1498

Likely goal scorers

4/6 correct

Nathan MacKinnon0.49 goal · 39%1

Brock Nelson0.33 goal · 28%2

Martin Necas0.27 goal · 24%1

Artturi Lehkonen0.22 goal · 20%0

Valeri Nichushkin0.22 goal · 20%0

Cale Makar0.18 goal · 16%1

Likely goal scorers

4/6 correct

Nathan MacKinnon0.49 goal · 39%1

Brock Nelson0.33 goal · 28%2

Martin Necas0.27 goal · 24%1

Artturi Lehkonen0.22 goal · 20%0

Valeri Nichushkin0.22 goal · 20%0

Cale Makar0.18 goal · 16%1

Likely assists

4/6 correct

Nathan MacKinnon0.43 assist · 35%3

Cale Makar0.31 assist · 27%2

Martin Necas0.31 assist · 27%1

Valeri Nichushkin0.21 assist · 19%0

Samuel Girard0.17 assist · 15%0

Josh Manson0.17 assist · 15%2

Likely point getters

4/6 correct

Nathan MacKinnon0.93 point · 61%4

Martin Necas0.58 point · 44%2

Cale Makar0.49 point · 39%3

Brock Nelson0.48 point · 38%3

Valeri Nichushkin0.43 point · 35%0

Artturi Lehkonen0.35 point · 30%0

Tonight's matchup

Tim Stützle

OTT · C · 80 GP

vs

Nathan MacKinnon

COL · C · 80 GP

OTT	Stat	COL
34	G	53
49	A	74
83	PTS	127
17.5%	S%	15.1%
20.3	TOI	22.3

OTT 0 – 4 COL · goal diff (home) 2.50

Mar 20COL5–1OTT2024-25 Oct 27OTT4–5COL2024-25 Jan 16COL7–4OTT2023-24 Dec 21OTT4–6COL2023-24

Result

Three stars

1

J. Manson

D · COL

2G · 2A · 4P

2

N. MacKinnon

C · COL

1G · 3A · 4P

3

B. Nelson

C · COL

2G · 1A · 3P

Scoring summary

1st period

10:11
COLJ. Manson(3)
R. Colton (12), B. Nelson (16)
OTT 0–1 COL
17:14
COLN. MacKinnon(36)
M. Necas (35), S. Malinski (20)
OTT 0–2 COL

2nd period

02:35
COLC. Makar(13)
N. MacKinnon (40), J. Manson (14)
OTT 0–3 COL
05:08
OTTS. Pinto(13)
C. Giroux (21), J. Sanderson (24)
OTT 1–3 COL
11:46
COLM. Necas(20)PP
N. MacKinnon (41), C. Makar (37)
OTT 1–4 COL
12:03
COLB. Burns(6)
J. Manson (15), R. Colton (13)
OTT 1–5 COL
14:23
COLB. Nelson(20)PP
N. MacKinnon (42), C. Makar (38)
OTT 1–6 COL
16:48
COLJ. Manson(4)
J. Drury (7), Z. Bardakov (6)
OTT 1–7 COL
18:04
COLB. Nelson(21)
I. Solovyov (2), R. Colton (14)
OTT 1–8 COL

3rd period

07:03
OTTB. Tkachuk(8)SH
T. Kleven (6)
OTT 2–8 COL

Team comparison

OTT	Stat	COL
31	Shots	34
—	Power play	2
38	Hits	12
14	Blocked shots	21
42	PIM	16

Actual result

Goal scorers(8)

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(8)

Goal scorers(8)

Assists(13)

Points(16)