Avalanche 7 - 4 Senators — Recap

Tue, Jan 16, 2024

12:00 AM

FinalRegular season

Canadian Tire Centre

COL

7–4

OTT

L OW W W L

OW L OW W W L

OL W W OW OW L OW W W L

W L L L L

W L L L L L

W L L L L L W L W OW

Retroactive prediction

Correct winner predicted

COL 67%33% OTT

Probable score

5 - 3

Regulation win (home)

19%

OT / shootout probability

11%

Elo home / away

1472 / 1559

Likely goal scorers

3/6 correct

Mikko Rantanen0.48 goal · 38%2

Nathan MacKinnon0.48 goal · 38%0

Brady Tkachuk0.21 goal · 19%0

Drake Batherson0.20 goal · 18%1

Cale Makar0.20 goal · 18%0

Miles Wood0.13 goal · 13%1

Likely goal scorers

3/6 correct

Mikko Rantanen0.48 goal · 38%2

Nathan MacKinnon0.48 goal · 38%0

Brady Tkachuk0.21 goal · 19%0

Drake Batherson0.20 goal · 18%1

Cale Makar0.20 goal · 18%0

Miles Wood0.13 goal · 13%1

Likely assists

3/6 correct

Nathan MacKinnon0.47 assist · 37%2

Cale Makar0.38 assist · 32%1

Mikko Rantanen0.29 assist · 25%0

Tim Stützle0.26 assist · 23%0

Devon Toews0.21 assist · 19%1

Jonathan Drouin0.18 assist · 16%0

Likely point getters

5/6 correct

Nathan MacKinnon0.95 point · 61%2

Mikko Rantanen0.77 point · 54%2

Cale Makar0.58 point · 44%1

Tim Stützle0.36 point · 30%0

Brady Tkachuk0.35 point · 30%3

Drake Batherson0.34 point · 29%1

Tonight's matchup

Nathan MacKinnon

COL · C · 82 GP

vs

Brady Tkachuk

OTT · L · 81 GP

COL	Stat	OTT
51	G	37
89	A	37
140	PTS	74
12.6%	S%	10.4%
22.8	TOI	19.1

COL 4 – 1 OTT · goal diff (home) -2.20

Dec 21OTT4–6COL2023-24 Mar 16COL5–4OTT2022-23 Jan 14OTT0–7COL2022-23 Dec 4COL5–6OTTOT2021-22 Nov 22OTT5–7COL2021-22

Result

Three stars

1

S. Girard

D · COL

0G · 3A · 3P

2

M. Rantanen

R · COL

2G · 0A · 2P

3

R. Greig

C · OTT

2G · 0A · 2P

Scoring summary

1st period

09:29
OTTD. Batherson(16)PP
C. Giroux (23), T. Chabot (9)
COL 0–1 OTT
10:07
COLM. Rantanen(23)TYING
C. Makar (42), N. MacKinnon (48)
COL 1–1 OTT

2nd period

01:21
OTTR. Greig(5)
C. Giroux (24), B. Tkachuk (14)
COL 1–2 OTT
02:27
COLJ. Polin(1)TYING
F. Olofsson (6), S. Malinski (5)
COL 2–2 OTT
07:21
OTTR. Greig(6)
B. Tkachuk (15), J. Sanderson (16)
COL 2–3 OTT
11:04
OTTJ. Sanderson(6)
C. Giroux (25), B. Tkachuk (16)
COL 2–4 OTT
16:18
COLM. Rantanen(24)
N. MacKinnon (49), S. Girard (8)
COL 3–4 OTT

3rd period

04:04
COLM. Wood(7)TYING
L. O'Connor (11), D. Toews (19)
COL 4–4 OTT
08:14
COLS. Malinski(3)PP
S. Girard (9), R. Johansen (7)
COL 5–4 OTT
12:24
COLL. O'Connor(8)
M. Wood (7), S. Girard (10)
COL 6–4 OTT
15:16
COLD. Toews(8)EN
COL 7–4 OTT

Team comparison

COL	Stat	OTT
34	Shots	40
1	Power play	1
25	Hits	17
23	Blocked shots	15
10	PIM	10

Actual result

Goal scorers(9)

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(9)

Goal scorers(9)

Assists(13)

Points(17)