Capitals 5 - 6 Oilers — Recap

Sat, Jan 24, 2026

03:00 AM

FinalRegular season

Rogers Place

WSH

5–6

OT

EDM

L L L L W

OW L L L L W

W L W L OW L L L L W

L L W W L

L L W W L OL

L L W W L OL W OL W W

Retroactive prediction

Correct winner predicted

WSH 39%61% EDM

Probable score

3 - 3

Regulation win (home)

54%

OT / shootout probability

16%

Elo home / away

1553 / 1519

Likely goal scorers

3/6 correct

0.43 goal · 35%0

0.37 goal · 31%1

0.33 goal · 28%2

0.28 goal · 24%0

0.23 goal · 21%0

0.23 goal · 21%1

Likely goal scorers

3/6 correct

0.43 goal · 35%0

0.37 goal · 31%1

0.33 goal · 28%2

0.28 goal · 24%0

0.23 goal · 21%0

0.23 goal · 21%1

Likely assists

5/6 correct

0.47 assist · 37%3

0.33 assist · 28%3

0.26 assist · 23%3

0.24 assist · 21%2

Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM

0.23 assist · 20%1

Dylan StromeWSH

0.19 assist · 17%0

Likely point getters

5/6 correct

Connor McDavidEDM

0.80 point · 55%5

Leon DraisaitlEDM

0.76 point · 53%3

Zach HymanEDM

0.54 point · 42%2

Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM

0.41 point · 34%1

Evan BouchardEDM

0.41 point · 34%6

Alex OvechkinWSH

0.41 point · 33%0

Tonight's matchup

Alex Ovechkin

WSH · L · 82 GP

vs

Connor McDavid

EDM · C · 82 GP

WSH	Stat	EDM
32	G	48
32	A	90
64	PTS	138
13.1%	S%	15.7%
17.4	TOI	23.0

WSH 3 – 2 EDM · goal diff (home) 0.40

Nov 19EDM4–7WSH2025-26 Feb 23EDM3–7WSH2024-25 Jan 21WSH3–2EDM2024-25 Mar 13WSH2–7EDM2023-24 Nov 24EDM5–0WSH2023-24

Result

Three stars

1

E. Bouchard

D · EDM

3G · 3A · 6P

2

J. Sourdif

R · WSH

1G · 1A · 2P

3

C. McDavid

C · EDM

2G · 3A · 5P

Scoring summary

1st period

19:12
EDME. Bouchard(12)
M. Ekholm (20), Z. Hyman (13)
WSH 0–1 EDM
19:34
WSHA. Protas(18)TYING
R. Sandin (15), T. Wilson (23)
WSH 1–1 EDM

2nd period

04:13
EDME. Bouchard(13)
L. Draisaitl (43), C. McDavid (56)
WSH 1–2 EDM
06:50
WSHJ. Sourdif(11)TYING
H. Lapierre (7), C. McMichael (22)
WSH 2–2 EDM
14:29
WSHA. Beauvillier(10)
J. Carlson (33), E. Frank (10)
WSH 3–2 EDM

3rd period

04:30
EDME. Bouchard(14)TYING
C. McDavid (57), L. Draisaitl (44)
WSH 3–3 EDM
06:40
WSHD. Strome(14)PP
J. Chychrun (19), T. Wilson (24)
WSH 4–3 EDM
08:24
EDMC. McDavid(31)TYINGPP
E. Bouchard (39), R. Nugent-Hopkins (29)
WSH 4–4 EDM
15:09
WSHC. McMichael(8)
J. Carlson (34), J. Sourdif (13)
WSH 5–4 EDM
19:28
EDMZ. Hyman(20)TYING
C. McDavid (58), E. Bouchard (40)
WSH 5–5 EDM