Sun, Jan 25, 2026
06:30 PM
FinalRegular season
Scotiabank Arena
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
COL 59%41% TOR
Probable score
4 - 3
Regulation win (home)
31%
OT / shootout probability
14%
Elo home / away
1530 / 1612
Likely goal scorers
1/6 correct
Auston Matthews0.34 goal · 29%0
Nathan MacKinnon0.32 goal · 27%0
Brock Nelson0.28 goal · 24%3
John Tavares0.25 goal · 22%0
Valeri Nichushkin0.24 goal · 21%0
Martin Necas0.22 goal · 20%0Likely goal scorers
1/6 correctAuston Matthews0.34 goal · 29%0Nathan MacKinnon0.32 goal · 27%0Brock Nelson0.28 goal · 24%3John Tavares0.25 goal · 22%0Valeri Nichushkin0.24 goal · 21%0Martin Necas0.22 goal · 20%0Likely assists
2/6 correctNathan MacKinnon0.39 assist · 32%1
Cale Makar0.26 assist · 23%1
Matthew Knies0.24 assist · 22%0Martin Necas0.24 assist · 21%0Auston Matthews0.24 assist · 21%0John Tavares0.18 assist · 16%0Likely point getters
3/6 correctNathan MacKinnon0.71 point · 51%1Auston Matthews0.58 point · 44%0Martin Necas0.46 point · 37%0Cale Makar0.44 point · 36%1Brock Nelson0.44 point · 36%3John Tavares0.43 point · 35%0Tonight's matchup
| COL | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 53 | G | 30 |
| 74 | A | 49 |
| 127 | PTS | 79 |
| 15.1% | S% | 19.2% |
| 22.3 | TOI | 19.4 |
COL 2 – 3 TOR · goal diff (home) -0.40
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 06:19
C. Makar (41)
COL 1–0 TOR - 07:31
A. Lehkonen (21), V. Nichushkin (17)
COL 2–0 TOR
2nd period
- 18:53COLJ. Drury(8)
P. Kelly (9), J. Kiviranta (4)
COL 3–0 TOR
3rd period
- 17:41
N. MacKinnon (50)
COL 4–0 TOR - 18:58
B. McMann (11), E. Cowan (10)
COL 4–1 TOR
Team comparison
| COL | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 37 | Shots | 33 |
| — | Power play | 1 |
| 14 | Hits | 28 |
| 8 | Blocked shots | 16 |
| 6 | PIM | 4 |
