Fri, Jan 23, 2026
12:00 AM
FinalRegular season
Scotiabank Arena
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
VGK 51%49% TOR
Probable score
4 - 3
Regulation win (home)
38%
OT / shootout probability
15%
Elo home / away
1534 / 1545
Likely goal scorers
4/6 correct
Auston Matthews0.39 goal · 32%0
Pavel Dorofeyev0.33 goal · 28%1
Jack Eichel0.31 goal · 26%1
Mark Stone0.29 goal · 25%2
Tomas Hertl0.27 goal · 24%0
John Tavares0.25 goal · 22%1Likely goal scorers
4/6 correctAuston Matthews0.39 goal · 32%0Pavel Dorofeyev0.33 goal · 28%1Jack Eichel0.31 goal · 26%1Mark Stone0.29 goal · 25%2Tomas Hertl0.27 goal · 24%0John Tavares0.25 goal · 22%1Likely assists
3/6 correctJack Eichel0.40 assist · 33%1Mark Stone0.31 assist · 27%1
Mitch Marner0.30 assist · 26%0
Shea Theodore0.29 assist · 25%0
Matthew Knies0.22 assist · 20%2John Tavares0.22 assist · 20%0Likely point getters
3/6 correctJack Eichel0.70 point · 51%2Auston Matthews0.60 point · 45%0Mark Stone0.60 point · 45%3Mitch Marner0.51 point · 40%0Tomas Hertl0.47 point · 38%0John Tavares0.47 point · 37%1Tonight's matchup
| VGK | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | G | 30 |
| 63 | A | 49 |
| 90 | PTS | 79 |
| 10.4% | S% | 19.2% |
| 21.2 | TOI | 19.4 |
VGK 3 – 2 TOR · goal diff (home) -0.20
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 01:06
M. Stone (32), I. Barbashev (22)
VGK 1–0 TOR - 04:31
J. Rondbjerg (1), R. Smith (7)
VGK 2–0 TOR
2nd period
- 00:13
M. Knies (30), M. Maccelli (13)
VGK 2–1 TOR - 03:32VGK 3–1 TOR
- 05:16VGKB. Bowman(7)
T. Laczynski (2), A. Holtz (4)
VGK 4–1 TOR - 10:04
M. Knies (31)
VGK 4–2 TOR - 18:19
M. Domi (18), M. Rielly (24)
VGK 4–3 TOR
3rd period
- 15:11VGKM. Stone(19)
I. Barbashev (23)
VGK 5–3 TOR - 19:01
J. Eichel (42), R. Andersson (21)
VGK 6–3 TOR
Team comparison
| VGK | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Shots | 21 |
| 11 | Hits | 21 |
| 15 | Blocked shots | 8 |
| 2 | PIM | 2 |
