Tue, Jan 27, 2026
12:00 AM
FinalRegular season
Scotiabank Arena
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
BUF 54%46% TOR
Probable score
4 - 3
Regulation win (home)
30%
OT / shootout probability
15%
Elo home / away
1526 / 1518
Likely goal scorers
4/6 correct
Auston Matthews0.37 goal · 31%1
Tage Thompson0.35 goal · 30%1
Alex Tuch0.32 goal · 27%1
John Tavares0.26 goal · 23%0
Jason Zucker0.23 goal · 21%0
Jack Quinn0.20 goal · 18%1Likely goal scorers
4/6 correctAuston Matthews0.37 goal · 31%1Tage Thompson0.35 goal · 30%1Alex Tuch0.32 goal · 27%1John Tavares0.26 goal · 23%0Jason Zucker0.23 goal · 21%0Jack Quinn0.20 goal · 18%1Likely assists
4/6 correct
Ryan McLeod0.25 assist · 22%1
Konsta Helenius0.25 assist · 22%0Tage Thompson0.24 assist · 21%1
Matthew Knies0.23 assist · 20%0
Rasmus Dahlin0.22 assist · 20%2
Mattias Samuelsson0.21 assist · 19%3Likely point getters
6/6 correctTage Thompson0.59 point · 45%2Auston Matthews0.57 point · 43%3Alex Tuch0.48 point · 38%1John Tavares0.45 point · 36%1Rasmus Dahlin0.39 point · 32%5Ryan McLeod0.39 point · 32%1Tonight's matchup
| BUF | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | G | 30 |
| 41 | A | 49 |
| 81 | PTS | 79 |
| 14.7% | S% | 19.2% |
| 19.2 | TOI | 19.4 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 07:44TORM. Knies(13)
J. Tavares (26), M. Maccelli (14)
BUF 0–1 TOR - 09:29
R. McLeod (24), M. Samuelsson (21)
BUF 1–1 TOR - 10:49
M. Domi (19), O. Ekman-Larsson (24)
BUF 1–2 TOR - 13:16
R. Dahlin (30)
BUF 2–2 TOR - 18:05BUF 3–2 TOR
2nd period
- 11:17
A. Matthews (18), M. Domi (20)
BUF 3–3 TOR - 18:17
M. Samuelsson (22), P. Krebs (16)
BUF 4–3 TOR
3rd period
- 00:16BUFA. Tuch(19)
T. Thompson (27), M. Samuelsson (23)
BUF 5–3 TOR - 11:33BUFJ. Quinn(12)
R. Dahlin (31)
BUF 6–3 TOR - 14:59TORM. Domi(8)
A. Matthews (19), B. McMann (12)
BUF 6–4 TOR - 19:16BUF 7–4 TOR
Team comparison
| BUF | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Shots | 23 |
| 1 | Power play | — |
| 16 | Hits | 32 |
| 19 | Blocked shots | 13 |
| 0 | PIM | 4 |
