Thu, Jan 15, 2026
12:00 AM
FinalRegular season
KeyBank Center
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
MTL 44%56% BUF
Probable score
3 - 4
Regulation win (home)
47%
OT / shootout probability
16%
Elo home / away
1506 / 1488
Likely goal scorers
3/6 correct
Tage Thompson0.28 goal · 24%3
Cole Caufield0.24 goal · 21%1
Alex Tuch0.21 goal · 19%1
Juraj Slafkovský0.19 goal · 18%0
Oliver Kapanen0.16 goal · 15%0
Rasmus Dahlin0.16 goal · 15%0Likely goal scorers
3/6 correctTage Thompson0.28 goal · 24%3Cole Caufield0.24 goal · 21%1Alex Tuch0.21 goal · 19%1Juraj Slafkovský0.19 goal · 18%0Oliver Kapanen0.16 goal · 15%0Rasmus Dahlin0.16 goal · 15%0Likely assists
4/6 correct
Lane Hutson0.30 assist · 26%2
Nick Suzuki0.21 assist · 19%1Tage Thompson0.20 assist · 19%2
Ivan Demidov0.20 assist · 18%0Rasmus Dahlin0.20 assist · 18%1Juraj Slafkovský0.18 assist · 17%0Likely point getters
5/6 correctTage Thompson0.48 point · 38%5Lane Hutson0.39 point · 32%2Juraj Slafkovský0.38 point · 31%0Nick Suzuki0.37 point · 31%2Alex Tuch0.37 point · 31%1Cole Caufield0.36 point · 30%2Tonight's matchup
| MTL | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | G | 40 |
| 72 | A | 41 |
| 101 | PTS | 81 |
| 15.8% | S% | 14.7% |
| 20.8 | TOI | 19.2 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 03:11
N. Dobson (21)
MTL 1–0 BUF - 04:05
N. Ostlund (7), J. Zucker (11)
MTL 1–1 BUF - 10:30
T. Thompson (23), N. Ostlund (8)
MTL 1–2 BUF - 14:20
L. Hutson (38), N. Suzuki (37)
MTL 2–2 BUF
2nd period
- 03:05
L. Hutson (39), C. Caufield (23)
MTL 3–2 BUF - 08:55
T. Thompson (24), R. Dahlin (27)
MTL 3–3 BUF
3rd period
- 05:12
J. Doan (19)
MTL 3–4 BUF - 18:20
Z. Benson (17)
MTL 3–5 BUF
Team comparison
| MTL | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Shots | 27 |
| 2 | Power play | 2 |
| 26 | Hits | 21 |
| 18 | Blocked shots | 6 |
| 12 | PIM | 10 |
