Mon, Jan 12, 2026
12:00 AM
FinalRegular season
KeyBank Center
Retroactive prediction
Wrong winner predicted
FLA 44%56% BUF
Probable score
3 - 4
Regulation win (home)
56%
OT / shootout probability
15%
Elo home / away
1505 / 1561
Likely goal scorers
2/6 correct
Tage Thompson0.27 goal · 24%0
Alex Tuch0.20 goal · 18%1
Sam Bennett0.20 goal · 18%0
Sam Reinhart0.20 goal · 18%1
Jason Zucker0.18 goal · 17%0
Josh Doan0.18 goal · 16%0Likely goal scorers
2/6 correctTage Thompson0.27 goal · 24%0Alex Tuch0.20 goal · 18%1Sam Bennett0.20 goal · 18%0Sam Reinhart0.20 goal · 18%1Jason Zucker0.18 goal · 17%0Josh Doan0.18 goal · 16%0Likely assists
3/6 correct
Rasmus Dahlin0.19 assist · 17%1Tage Thompson0.18 assist · 16%1
Josh Norris0.17 assist · 16%0
Bowen Byram0.15 assist · 14%1Sam Reinhart0.15 assist · 14%0Jason Zucker0.15 assist · 14%0Likely point getters
4/6 correctTage Thompson0.45 point · 36%1Sam Reinhart0.35 point · 30%1Alex Tuch0.35 point · 29%1Jason Zucker0.33 point · 28%0Josh Norris0.33 point · 28%0Rasmus Dahlin0.32 point · 27%1Tonight's matchup
| FLA | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | G | 40 |
| 32 | A | 41 |
| 61 | PTS | 81 |
| 17.5% | S% | 14.7% |
| 21.3 | TOI | 19.2 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 02:35
U. Balinskis (7), C. Verhaeghe (19)
FLA 1–0 BUF - 10:19
R. McLeod (18), Z. Metsa (1)
FLA 1–1 BUF - 15:11FLAA. Greer(8)
S. Bennett (18), C. Verhaeghe (20)
FLA 2–1 BUF
2nd period
- 17:57
T. Thompson (20)
FLA 2–2 BUF
3rd period
- 11:07
E. Luostarinen (15), G. Forsling (15)
FLA 3–2 BUF - 18:46
C. Verhaeghe (21), S. Bennett (19)
FLA 4–2 BUF - 19:46BUFA. Tuch(15)
B. Byram (15), R. Dahlin (26)
FLA 4–3 BUF
Team comparison
| FLA | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | Shots | 23 |
| 1 | Power play | — |
| 18 | Hits | 22 |
| 14 | Blocked shots | 19 |
| 9 | PIM | 7 |
