Sat, Oct 25, 2025
09:00 PM
FinalRegular season
Scotiabank Arena
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
BUF 45%55% TOR
Probable score
4 - 3
Regulation win (home)
40%
OT / shootout probability
15%
Elo home / away
1543 / 1486
Likely goal scorers
2/6 correct
Auston Matthews0.06 goal · 6%0
Alex Tuch0.05 goal · 5%0
John Tavares0.05 goal · 5%1
Tage Thompson0.04 goal · 4%2
Matthew Knies0.03 goal · 3%0
Jack Quinn0.03 goal · 3%0Likely goal scorers
2/6 correctAuston Matthews0.06 goal · 6%0Alex Tuch0.05 goal · 5%0John Tavares0.05 goal · 5%1Tage Thompson0.04 goal · 4%2Matthew Knies0.03 goal · 3%0Jack Quinn0.03 goal · 3%0Likely assists
4/6 correctMatthew Knies0.04 assist · 4%2
Rasmus Dahlin0.04 assist · 4%1John Tavares0.04 assist · 4%1
Morgan Rielly0.03 assist · 3%0Auston Matthews0.03 assist · 3%1
Oliver Ekman-Larsson0.03 assist · 3%0Likely point getters
5/6 correctAuston Matthews0.10 point · 9%1John Tavares0.09 point · 8%2Alex Tuch0.08 point · 7%0Matthew Knies0.07 point · 7%2Tage Thompson0.07 point · 6%2Rasmus Dahlin0.06 point · 6%1Tonight's matchup
| BUF | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | G | 30 |
| 41 | A | 49 |
| 81 | PTS | 79 |
| 14.7% | S% | 19.2% |
| 19.2 | TOI | 19.4 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 13:40
J.Kulich (2), M. Samuelsson (3)
BUF 1–0 TOR - 18:33
E. Cowan (3), A. Matthews (3)
BUF 1–1 TOR
2nd period
- 01:59
J. Tavares (7), M. Knies (7)
BUF 1–2 TOR - 14:23
C. Timmins (2), R. McLeod (4)
BUF 2–2 TOR
3rd period
- 07:06
J. Zucker (2), R. Dahlin (7)
BUF 3–2 TOR - 13:10
J. McCabe (2), B. Carlo (2)
BUF 3–3 TOR
Overtime 1
- 01:28
M. Knies (8)
BUF 3–4 TOR
Team comparison
| BUF | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Shots | 23 |
| 1 | Power play | — |
| 20 | Hits | 25 |
| 15 | Blocked shots | 18 |
| 21 | PIM | 13 |
