Maple Leafs 1 - 5 Panthers — Recap

Thu, Feb 26, 2026

12:00 AM

FinalRegular season

Amerant Bank Arena

TOR

1–5

FLA

L OW W W L

L L OW W W L

L OL L L L L OW W W L

L OW L L L

L OW L L L L

L OW L L L L W OW OW L

Retroactive prediction

Correct winner predicted

TOR 43%57% FLA

Probable score

3 - 4

Regulation win (home)

49%

OT / shootout probability

15%

Elo home / away

1545 / 1524

Likely goal scorers

3/6 correct

Sam Reinhart0.36 goal · 30%0

Matthew Tkachuk0.33 goal · 28%1

Brad Marchand0.32 goal · 27%2

John Tavares0.30 goal · 26%1

Auston Matthews0.30 goal · 26%0

Sam Bennett0.28 goal · 25%0

Likely goal scorers

3/6 correct

Sam Reinhart0.36 goal · 30%0

Matthew Tkachuk0.33 goal · 28%1

Brad Marchand0.32 goal · 27%2

John Tavares0.30 goal · 26%1

Auston Matthews0.30 goal · 26%0

Sam Bennett0.28 goal · 25%0

Likely assists

2/6 correct

William Nylander0.32 assist · 27%0

Matthew Tkachuk0.30 assist · 26%0

Brad Marchand0.28 assist · 24%0

Sam Reinhart0.27 assist · 24%1

Auston Matthews0.26 assist · 23%1

Carter Verhaeghe0.24 assist · 21%0

Likely point getters

5/6 correct

Matthew Tkachuk0.64 point · 47%1

Sam Reinhart0.63 point · 47%1

Brad Marchand0.60 point · 45%2

William Nylander0.58 point · 44%0

Auston Matthews0.56 point · 43%1

Carter Verhaeghe0.49 point · 39%1

Tonight's matchup

William Nylander

TOR · R · 65 GP

Sam Reinhart

FLA · C · 64 GP

TOR	Stat	FLA
30	G	29
49	A	32
79	PTS	61
19.2%	S%	17.5%
19.4	TOI	21.3

TOR 5 – 5 FLA · goal diff (home) 0.50

Jan 6FLA1–4TOR2025-26 Dec 2TOR4–1FLA2025-26 May 18FLA6–1TOR2024-25 May 16TOR2–0FLA2024-25 May 14FLA6–1TOR2024-25 May 11TOR0–2FLA2024-25 May 9TOR4–5FLAOT2024-25 May 7FLA3–4TOR2024-25

Result

Three stars

E. Rodrigues

C · FLA

1G · 1A · 2P

S. Bobrovsky

G · FLA

0G · 0A · 0P

B. Marchand

L · FLA

2G · 0A · 2P

Scoring summary

1st period

03:18
FLAB. Marchand(26)
A. Lundell (25)
TOR 0–1 FLA
05:13
FLAC. Verhaeghe(17)PP
E. Rodrigues (16), A. Lundell (26)
TOR 0–2 FLA
16:40
FLAE. Rodrigues(11)SH
TOR 0–3 FLA

3rd period

00:47
TORJ. Tavares(22)PP
A. Matthews (24), O. Ekman-Larsson (27)
TOR 1–3 FLA
16:51
FLAB. Marchand(27)EN
TOR 1–4 FLA
18:08
FLAM. Tkachuk(4)EN
S. Bennett (24), S. Reinhart (29)
TOR 1–5 FLA

Team comparison

TOR	Stat	FLA
30	Shots	37
1	Power play	1
21	Hits	19
12	Blocked shots	10
8	PIM	8

Actual result

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(5)

Goal scorers(5)

Assists(6)

Points(10)