Sabres 3 - 4 Lightning — Recap

Tue, Feb 3, 2026

12:30 AM

FinalRegular season

Benchmark International Arena

BUF

3–4

OT

TBL

W W W L W

W W W W L W

W OL L W W W W W L W

OW W W L OW

OW W W L OW W

OW W W L OW W W OL OW W

Retroactive prediction

Correct winner predicted

Exact score predicted

BUF 36%64% TBL

Probable score

3 - 4

Regulation win (home)

55%

OT / shootout probability

15%

Elo home / away

1593 / 1526

Likely goal scorers

3/6 correct

0.39 goal · 32%1

0.38 goal · 32%1

0.35 goal · 29%0

0.32 goal · 27%0

0.27 goal · 23%0

0.24 goal · 22%1

Likely goal scorers

3/6 correct

0.39 goal · 32%1

0.38 goal · 32%1

0.35 goal · 29%0

0.32 goal · 27%0

0.27 goal · 23%0

0.24 goal · 22%1

Likely assists

6/6 correct

0.59 assist · 45%3

0.33 assist · 28%1

0.29 assist · 26%1

0.28 assist · 24%1

0.28 assist · 24%1

0.25 assist · 22%1

Likely point getters

6/6 correct

0.97 point · 62%4

0.67 point · 49%1

0.67 point · 49%2

0.52 point · 40%2

0.49 point · 39%1

0.48 point · 38%1

Tonight's matchup

Tage Thompson

BUF · C · 81 GP

vs

Nikita Kucherov

TBL · R · 76 GP

BUF	Stat	TBL
40	G	44
41	A	86
81	PTS	130
14.7%	S%	19.0%
19.2	TOI	20.3

BUF 4 – 3 TBL · goal diff (home) 0.14

Apr 13BUF4–7TBL2024-25 Apr 5TBL2–3BUFSO2024-25 Mar 6BUF5–6TBL2024-25 Apr 15BUF4–2TBL2023-24 Feb 29BUF3–2TBLOT2023-24 Jan 20TBL3–1BUF2023-24 Oct 17TBL2–3BUFOT2023-24

Result

Three stars

1

J. Guentzel

C · TBL

1G · 1A · 2P

2

N. Kucherov

R · TBL

1G · 3A · 4P

3

M. Samuelsson

D · BUF

2G · 0A · 2P

Scoring summary

1st period

10:24
TBLN. Kucherov(29)
J. Guentzel (34)
BUF 0–1 TBL
16:53
BUFM. Samuelsson(10)TYING
BUF 1–1 TBL

3rd period

04:08
BUFM. Samuelsson(11)
R. McLeod (29), J. Quinn (24)
BUF 2–1 TBL
08:53
TBLO. Bjorkstrand(9)TYINGPP
D. Raddysh (34), N. Kucherov (59)
BUF 2–2 TBL
14:53
BUFJ. Doan(18)PP
T. Thompson (29), R. Dahlin (36)
BUF 3–2 TBL
19:34
TBLD. Raddysh(17)TYING
N. Kucherov (60), B. Hagel (27)
BUF 3–3 TBL

Overtime 1

04:45
TBLJ. Guentzel(25)
N. Kucherov (61), J. Moser (14)
BUF 3–4 TBL

Team comparison

BUF	Stat	TBL
26	Shots	35
1	Power play	1
13	Hits	26
9	Blocked shots	10
4	PIM	6

Actual result

Goal scorers(6)

Mattias SamuelssonBUF2

Darren RaddyshTBL1

Oliver BjorkstrandTBL1

Jake GuentzelTBL1

Nikita KucherovTBL1

Josh DoanBUF1

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(6)

Goal scorers(6)

Assists(9)

Points(12)