Canadiens 4 - 2 Sabres — Recap

Sat, Jan 31, 2026

12:00 AM

FinalRegular season

KeyBank Center

MTL

4–2

BUF

W L L OW W

OW W L L OW W

L W OL L OW W L L OW W

W W W W W

W W W W W L

W W W W W L OL W W L

Retroactive prediction

Wrong winner predicted

MTL 38%62% BUF

Probable score

3 - 4

Regulation win (home)

57%

OT / shootout probability

14%

Elo home / away

1526 / 1492

Likely goal scorers

1/6 correct

Tage Thompson0.47 goal · 37%0

Cole Caufield0.41 goal · 34%2

Alex Tuch0.41 goal · 33%0

Rasmus Dahlin0.29 goal · 25%0

Josh Doan0.25 goal · 22%0

Jason Zucker0.24 goal · 22%0

Likely goal scorers

1/6 correct

Tage Thompson0.47 goal · 37%0

Cole Caufield0.41 goal · 34%2

Alex Tuch0.41 goal · 33%0

Rasmus Dahlin0.29 goal · 25%0

Josh Doan0.25 goal · 22%0

Jason Zucker0.24 goal · 22%0

Likely assists

4/6 correct

Lane Hutson0.37 assist · 31%1

Rasmus Dahlin0.32 assist · 28%1

Nick Suzuki0.31 assist · 27%2

Tage Thompson0.29 assist · 25%1

Ryan McLeod0.27 assist · 24%0

Jack Quinn0.25 assist · 22%0

Likely point getters

6/6 correct

Tage Thompson0.76 point · 53%1

Rasmus Dahlin0.61 point · 46%1

Alex Tuch0.58 point · 44%1

Cole Caufield0.54 point · 42%3

Nick Suzuki0.54 point · 41%2

Lane Hutson0.47 point · 38%1

Tonight's matchup

Nick Suzuki

MTL · C · 82 GP

Tage Thompson

BUF · C · 81 GP

MTL	Stat	BUF
29	G	40
72	A	41
101	PTS	81
15.8%	S%	14.7%
20.8	TOI	19.2

MTL 6 – 4 BUF · goal diff (home) -0.30

Jan 22BUF4–2MTL2025-26 Jan 15MTL3–5BUF2025-26 Oct 20BUF2–4MTL2025-26 Mar 3BUF3–4MTLOT2024-25 Mar 1MTL4–2BUF2024-25 Dec 17BUF1–6MTL2024-25 Nov 11MTL7–5BUF2024-25 Feb 21BUF3–2MTL2023-24

Result

Three stars

C. Caufield

R · MTL

2G · 1A · 3P

J. Dobes

G · MTL

0G · 0A · 0P

O. Power

D · BUF

1G · 0A · 1P

Scoring summary

1st period

11:20
MTLJ. Slafkovský(21)PP
N. Suzuki (45), C. Caufield (25)
MTL 1–0 BUF

2nd period

07:36
BUFO. Power(4)TYING
T. Thompson (28), R. Dahlin (33)
MTL 1–1 BUF
18:58
BUFN. Ostlund(10)PP
A. Tuch (25), B. Byram (17)
MTL 1–2 BUF

3rd period

04:14
MTLC. Caufield(31)TYING
N. Dobson (24), L. Hutson (47)
MTL 2–2 BUF
10:13
MTLC. Caufield(32)
N. Suzuki (46), K. Dach (4)
MTL 3–2 BUF
19:12
MTLO. Kapanen(17)EN
N. Dobson (25)
MTL 4–2 BUF

Team comparison

MTL	Stat	BUF
31	Shots	38
1	Power play	1
29	Hits	24
20	Blocked shots	7
8	PIM	6

Actual result

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(5)

Goal scorers(5)

Assists(9)

Points(13)