Sat, Feb 28, 2026
12:00 AM
FinalRegular season
Scotiabank Arena
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
OTT 54%46% TOR
Probable score
4 - 3
Regulation win (home)
30%
OT / shootout probability
15%
Elo home / away
1520 / 1510
Likely goal scorers
1/6 correct
William Nylander0.35 goal · 29%1
Tim Stützle0.30 goal · 26%0
Brady Tkachuk0.29 goal · 25%0
John Tavares0.26 goal · 23%0
Auston Matthews0.25 goal · 22%0
Matthew Knies0.25 goal · 22%0Likely goal scorers
1/6 correctWilliam Nylander0.35 goal · 29%1Tim Stützle0.30 goal · 26%0Brady Tkachuk0.29 goal · 25%0John Tavares0.26 goal · 23%0Auston Matthews0.25 goal · 22%0Matthew Knies0.25 goal · 22%0Likely assists
4/6 correctWilliam Nylander0.32 assist · 28%0Auston Matthews0.29 assist · 25%1Tim Stützle0.24 assist · 21%1
Jake Sanderson0.23 assist · 20%1Brady Tkachuk0.22 assist · 19%1Matthew Knies0.20 assist · 19%0Likely point getters
4/6 correctWilliam Nylander0.67 point · 49%1Auston Matthews0.55 point · 42%1Tim Stützle0.54 point · 42%1Brady Tkachuk0.51 point · 40%1Matthew Knies0.46 point · 37%0John Tavares0.43 point · 35%0Tonight's matchup
| OTT | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | G | 30 |
| 49 | A | 49 |
| 83 | PTS | 79 |
| 17.5% | S% | 19.2% |
| 20.3 | TOI | 19.4 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 02:52TORM. Rielly(8)
A. Matthews (25), J. McCabe (16)
OTT 0–1 TOR - 10:59
B. Tkachuk (24), D. Cozens (26)
OTT 1–1 TOR
2nd period
- 03:03
T. Chabot (18), F. Zetterlund (11)
OTT 2–1 TOR - 13:05OTT 3–1 TOR
- 13:56
S. Laughton (4), M. Maccelli (15)
OTT 3–2 TOR - 15:15OTT 4–2 TOR
- 16:06
T. Stützle (35), J. Sanderson (37)
OTT 5–2 TOR
Team comparison
| OTT | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | Shots | 23 |
| 1 | Power play | — |
| 27 | Hits | 24 |
| 6 | Blocked shots | 15 |
| 15 | PIM | 25 |
