Thu, Mar 5, 2026
12:00 AM
FinalRegular season
Madison Square Garden
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
TOR 48%52% NYR
Probable score
3 - 3
Regulation win (home)
45%
OT / shootout probability
16%
Elo home / away
1477 / 1512
1 injured/absent player(s) excluded from predictions.
Likely goal scorers
1/6 correct
Mika Zibanejad0.36 goal · 30%1
William Nylander0.34 goal · 29%0
Auston Matthews0.30 goal · 26%0
John Tavares0.28 goal · 24%0
Gabe Perreault0.24 goal · 21%0
Matthew Knies0.22 goal · 20%0Likely goal scorers
1/6 correctMika Zibanejad0.36 goal · 30%1William Nylander0.34 goal · 29%0Auston Matthews0.30 goal · 26%0John Tavares0.28 goal · 24%0Gabe Perreault0.24 goal · 21%0Matthew Knies0.22 goal · 20%0Likely assists
5/6 correct
Adam Fox0.31 assist · 26%1William Nylander0.29 assist · 25%1Auston Matthews0.29 assist · 25%0Mika Zibanejad0.24 assist · 22%2John Tavares0.19 assist · 17%1
Alexis Lafrenière0.18 assist · 17%2Likely point getters
5/6 correctWilliam Nylander0.63 point · 47%1Mika Zibanejad0.60 point · 45%3Auston Matthews0.58 point · 44%0John Tavares0.47 point · 37%1Alexis Lafrenière0.41 point · 33%3Adam Fox0.40 point · 33%1Tonight's matchup
| TOR | Stat | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | G | 34 |
| 49 | A | 44 |
| 79 | PTS | 78 |
| 19.2% | S% | 15.8% |
| 19.4 | TOI | 20.9 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 00:13
W. Nylander (37)
TOR 1–0 NYR - 06:45
B. Schneider (10)
TOR 1–1 NYR
2nd period
- 05:27TORE. Cowan(8)
M. Knies (35), J. Tavares (30)
TOR 2–1 NYR - 07:29
T. Raddysh (7), J. Brodzinski (7)
TOR 2–2 NYR
3rd period
- 05:38
M. Zibanejad (30)
TOR 2–3 NYR - 10:27TOR 2–4 NYR
- 11:19
A. Lafrenière (22), A. Fox (25)
TOR 2–5 NYR - 17:09
A. Lafrenière (23), M. Zibanejad (31)
TOR 2–6 NYR
Team comparison
| TOR | Stat | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | Shots | 24 |
| — | Power play | 1 |
| 27 | Hits | 22 |
| 24 | Blocked shots | 9 |
| 4 | PIM | 2 |
