Thu, Feb 5, 2026
12:00 AM
FinalRegular season
Madison Square Garden
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
CAR 68%32% NYR
Probable score
5 - 3
Regulation win (home)
17%
OT / shootout probability
12%
Elo home / away
1482 / 1569
Likely goal scorers
1/6 correct
Seth Jarvis0.35 goal · 30%0
Andrei Svechnikov0.29 goal · 25%1
Sebastian Aho0.27 goal · 24%0
Mika Zibanejad0.24 goal · 21%0
Shayne Gostisbehere0.21 goal · 19%0
Nikolaj Ehlers0.21 goal · 19%0Likely goal scorers
1/6 correctSeth Jarvis0.35 goal · 30%0Andrei Svechnikov0.29 goal · 25%1Sebastian Aho0.27 goal · 24%0Mika Zibanejad0.24 goal · 21%0Shayne Gostisbehere0.21 goal · 19%0Nikolaj Ehlers0.21 goal · 19%0Likely assists
1/6 correctSebastian Aho0.37 assist · 31%0Nikolaj Ehlers0.29 assist · 25%1Shayne Gostisbehere0.26 assist · 23%0Seth Jarvis0.23 assist · 21%0Andrei Svechnikov0.22 assist · 20%0
J.T. Miller0.22 assist · 20%0Likely point getters
2/6 correctSebastian Aho0.64 point · 47%0Seth Jarvis0.58 point · 44%0Andrei Svechnikov0.51 point · 40%1Nikolaj Ehlers0.50 point · 40%1Shayne Gostisbehere0.48 point · 38%0Mika Zibanejad0.45 point · 36%0Tonight's matchup
| CAR | Stat | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | G | 34 |
| 53 | A | 44 |
| 80 | PTS | 78 |
| 13.8% | S% | 15.8% |
| 19.6 | TOI | 20.9 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 06:26
M. Jankowski (8)
CAR 1–0 NYR
3rd period
- 19:06
N. Ehlers (29), J. Blake (17)
CAR 2–0 NYR
Team comparison
| CAR | Stat | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| 43 | Shots | 16 |
| 11 | Hits | 27 |
| 10 | Blocked shots | 21 |
| 4 | PIM | 6 |
