Sat, Feb 28, 2026
05:30 PM
FinalRegular season
Madison Square Garden
Retroactive prediction
Wrong winner predicted
PIT 59%41% NYR
Probable score
4 - 3
Regulation win (home)
26%
OT / shootout probability
14%
Elo home / away
1477 / 1509
1 injured/absent player(s) excluded from predictions.
Likely goal scorers
2/6 correct
Avery Hayes0.45 goal · 36%0
Ben Kindel0.29 goal · 25%0
Anthony Mantha0.29 goal · 25%1
Egor Chinakhov0.28 goal · 25%0
Mika Zibanejad0.27 goal · 24%1
Rickard Rakell0.26 goal · 23%0Likely goal scorers
2/6 correctAvery Hayes0.45 goal · 36%0Ben Kindel0.29 goal · 25%0Anthony Mantha0.29 goal · 25%1Egor Chinakhov0.28 goal · 25%0Mika Zibanejad0.27 goal · 24%1Rickard Rakell0.26 goal · 23%0Likely assists
3/6 correct
Evgeni Malkin0.30 assist · 26%0
Adam Fox0.29 assist · 25%0
Vincent Trocheck0.25 assist · 22%1
J.T. Miller0.24 assist · 22%1Mika Zibanejad0.23 assist · 20%0
Erik Karlsson0.20 assist · 18%1Likely point getters
4/6 correctMika Zibanejad0.50 point · 39%1Anthony Mantha0.48 point · 38%1Evgeni Malkin0.48 point · 38%0Avery Hayes0.45 point · 36%0J.T. Miller0.44 point · 35%1Vincent Trocheck0.41 point · 34%1Tonight's matchup
| PIT | Stat | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | G | 34 |
| 45 | A | 44 |
| 74 | PTS | 78 |
| 18.1% | S% | 15.8% |
| 19.2 | TOI | 20.9 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 02:08
E. Karlsson (32), B. Rust (22)
PIT 1–0 NYR
2nd period
- 01:59PITR. Shea(4)
C. Clifton (3), B. Lizotte (12)
PIT 2–0 NYR - 10:00
V. Trocheck (26), J. Miller (23)
PIT 2–1 NYR
3rd period
- 02:57
V. Gavrikov (13), B. Brisson (1)
PIT 2–2 NYR
Shootout
- 00:00NYRV. TrocheckPIT 2–3 NYR
Team comparison
| PIT | Stat | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| 34 | Shots | 25 |
| 1 | Power play | 1 |
| 15 | Hits | 28 |
| 19 | Blocked shots | 11 |
| 4 | PIM | 16 |
