Thu, Feb 5, 2026
12:00 AM
FinalRegular season
KeyBank Center
Retroactive prediction
Wrong winner predicted
PIT 43%57% BUF
Probable score
4 - 4
Regulation win (home)
47%
OT / shootout probability
15%
Elo home / away
1525 / 1501
Likely goal scorers
2/6 correct
Tage Thompson0.38 goal · 32%1
Alex Tuch0.33 goal · 28%0
Egor Chinakhov0.26 goal · 23%0
Jason Zucker0.24 goal · 21%1
Bryan Rust0.23 goal · 21%0
Anthony Mantha0.23 goal · 21%0Likely goal scorers
2/6 correctTage Thompson0.38 goal · 32%1Alex Tuch0.33 goal · 28%0Egor Chinakhov0.26 goal · 23%0Jason Zucker0.24 goal · 21%1Bryan Rust0.23 goal · 21%0Anthony Mantha0.23 goal · 21%0Likely assists
4/6 correct
Rasmus Dahlin0.34 assist · 29%1
Ryan McLeod0.28 assist · 24%1Tage Thompson0.27 assist · 23%0
Evgeni Malkin0.27 assist · 23%1
Jack Quinn0.24 assist · 21%1
Sidney Crosby0.23 assist · 21%0Likely point getters
4/6 correctTage Thompson0.65 point · 48%1Rasmus Dahlin0.56 point · 43%1Alex Tuch0.51 point · 40%0Evgeni Malkin0.46 point · 37%1Sidney Crosby0.45 point · 36%0Jason Zucker0.42 point · 34%1Tonight's matchup
| PIT | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | G | 40 |
| 45 | A | 41 |
| 74 | PTS | 81 |
| 18.1% | S% | 14.7% |
| 19.2 | TOI | 19.2 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 01:46
R. McLeod (30), B. Byram (18)
PIT 0–1 BUF - 09:18
I. Solovyov (5), R. McGroarty (3)
PIT 1–1 BUF - 18:47PITA. Hayes(2)
A. Mantha (22), P. Wotherspoon (16)
PIT 2–1 BUF
2nd period
- 07:44PIT 3–1 BUF
3rd period
- 01:55
J. Quinn (25), R. Dahlin (37)
PIT 3–2 BUF - 15:33PITT. Novak(11)
E. Chinakhov (7), E. Malkin (31)
PIT 4–2 BUF - 19:46
C. Dewar (11)
PIT 5–2 BUF
Team comparison
| PIT | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | Shots | 27 |
| — | Power play | 1 |
| 20 | Hits | 16 |
| 8 | Blocked shots | 10 |
| 15 | PIM | 11 |
