Wed, Nov 26, 2025
12:00 AM
FinalRegular season
PPG Paints Arena
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
BUF 46%54% PIT
Probable score
3 - 3
Regulation win (home)
45%
OT / shootout probability
16%
Elo home / away
1480 / 1481
Likely goal scorers
1/6 correct
Tage Thompson0.14 goal · 13%0
Sidney Crosby0.12 goal · 12%0
Alex Tuch0.10 goal · 10%0
Bryan Rust0.09 goal · 9%1
Evgeni Malkin0.08 goal · 8%0
Anthony Mantha0.07 goal · 7%0Likely goal scorers
1/6 correctTage Thompson0.14 goal · 13%0Sidney Crosby0.12 goal · 12%0Alex Tuch0.10 goal · 10%0Bryan Rust0.09 goal · 9%1Evgeni Malkin0.08 goal · 8%0Anthony Mantha0.07 goal · 7%0Likely assists
1/6 correct
Rasmus Dahlin0.11 assist · 11%0Evgeni Malkin0.11 assist · 11%0Alex Tuch0.09 assist · 8%0
Erik Karlsson0.09 assist · 8%1Sidney Crosby0.08 assist · 8%0Bryan Rust0.07 assist · 7%0Likely point getters
1/6 correctTage Thompson0.21 point · 19%0Sidney Crosby0.20 point · 18%0Evgeni Malkin0.19 point · 18%0Alex Tuch0.19 point · 17%0Bryan Rust0.16 point · 15%1Rasmus Dahlin0.15 point · 14%0Tonight's matchup
| BUF | Stat | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | G | 29 |
| 41 | A | 45 |
| 81 | PTS | 74 |
| 14.7% | S% | 18.1% |
| 19.2 | TOI | 19.2 |
BUF 3 – 3 PIT · goal diff (home) 0.17
Result
Scoring summary
1st period
- 17:09PITM. Dumba(1)BUF 0–1 PIT
3rd period
- 07:20
J. Quinn (7), R. McLeod (9)
BUF 1–1 PIT - 07:51PITB. Rust(6)
R. Shea (7)
BUF 1–2 PIT - 12:34PITK. Hayes(1)
E. Karlsson (13), P. Wotherspoon (6)
BUF 1–3 PIT - 15:42BUFJ. Quinn(6)
J. Zucker (7), M. Samuelsson (7)
BUF 2–3 PIT - 19:02
D. Heinen (1), R. Shea (8)
BUF 2–4 PIT
Team comparison
| BUF | Stat | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | Shots | 19 |
| 21 | Hits | 17 |
| 15 | Blocked shots | 10 |
| 2 | PIM | 0 |
