Capitals 2 - 1 Sabres — Recap

Thu, Mar 12, 2026

11:00 PM

FinalRegular season

KeyBank Center

WSH

2–1

BUF

L L L W L

W L L L W L

W L W W W L L L W L

W W W W W

W W W W W W

W W W W W W W W L OL

Retroactive prediction

Wrong winner predicted

WSH 34%66% BUF

Probable score

3 - 4

Regulation win (home)

65%

OT / shootout probability

13%

Elo home / away

1544 / 1510

Likely goal scorers

0/6 correct

0.59 goal · 45%0

0.46 goal · 37%0

0.36 goal · 31%0

0.33 goal · 28%0

0.30 goal · 26%0

0.30 goal · 26%0

Likely goal scorers

0/6 correct

0.59 goal · 45%0

0.46 goal · 37%0

0.36 goal · 31%0

0.33 goal · 28%0

0.30 goal · 26%0

0.30 goal · 26%0

Likely assists

0/6 correct

0.57 assist · 43%0

0.37 assist · 31%0

0.37 assist · 31%0

0.35 assist · 29%0

0.33 assist · 28%0

0.25 assist · 22%0

Likely point getters

0/6 correct

0.96 point · 62%0

0.82 point · 56%0

0.68 point · 49%0

0.63 point · 47%0

0.61 point · 46%0

0.52 point · 41%0

Tonight's matchup

Alex Ovechkin

WSH · L · 82 GP

Tage Thompson

BUF · C · 81 GP

WSH	Stat	BUF
32	G	40
32	A	41
64	PTS	81
13.1%	S%	14.7%
17.4	TOI	19.2

WSH 2 – 5 BUF · goal diff (home) 1.14

Nov 1WSH3–4BUFSO2025-26 Mar 30BUF8–5WSH2024-25 Jan 6WSH3–4BUFSO2024-25 Dec 14BUF2–4WSH2024-25 Apr 11WSH2–4BUF2023-24 Apr 2WSH2–6BUF2023-24 Nov 22BUF3–4WSHOT2023-24

Result

Three stars

J. Chychrun

D · WSH

1G · 0A · 1P

R. Leonard

R · WSH

1G · 0A · 1P

S. Carrick

C · BUF

1G · 0A · 1P

Scoring summary

1st period

06:02
BUFS. Carrick(6)
B. Malenstyn (5), O. Power (17)
WSH 0–1 BUF

2nd period

02:14
WSHR. Leonard(14)TYING
WSH 1–1 BUF

3rd period

18:27
WSHJ. Chychrun(23)
A. Protas (24), T. van Riemsdyk (7)
WSH 2–1 BUF

Team comparison

WSH	Stat	BUF
22	Shots	30
22	Hits	24
17	Blocked shots	11
4	PIM	4

Actual result

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(3)

Goal scorers(3)

Assists(4)

Points(7)