Fri, Feb 27, 2026
12:00 AM
FinalRegular season
Amerant Bank Arena
Retroactive prediction
Wrong winner predicted
BUF 46%54% FLA
Probable score
3 - 3
Regulation win (home)
42%
OT / shootout probability
15%
Elo home / away
1549 / 1522
Likely goal scorers
2/6 correct
Brad Marchand0.38 goal · 32%0
Tage Thompson0.35 goal · 30%0
Matthew Tkachuk0.34 goal · 29%1
Carter Verhaeghe0.29 goal · 25%0
Sam Reinhart0.28 goal · 24%0
Alex Tuch0.27 goal · 24%1Likely goal scorers
2/6 correctBrad Marchand0.38 goal · 32%0Tage Thompson0.35 goal · 30%0Matthew Tkachuk0.34 goal · 29%1Carter Verhaeghe0.29 goal · 25%0Sam Reinhart0.28 goal · 24%0Alex Tuch0.27 goal · 24%1Likely assists
2/6 correct
Rasmus Dahlin0.33 assist · 28%0Matthew Tkachuk0.30 assist · 26%0
Ryan McLeod0.29 assist · 25%1Sam Reinhart0.29 assist · 25%0Brad Marchand0.26 assist · 23%1
Anton Lundell0.25 assist · 22%0Likely point getters
3/6 correctMatthew Tkachuk0.65 point · 48%1Brad Marchand0.64 point · 47%1Tage Thompson0.57 point · 44%1Sam Reinhart0.56 point · 43%0Rasmus Dahlin0.52 point · 41%0Carter Verhaeghe0.52 point · 40%0Tonight's matchup
| BUF | Stat | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | G | 29 |
| 41 | A | 32 |
| 81 | PTS | 61 |
| 14.7% | S% | 17.5% |
| 19.2 | TOI | 21.3 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 17:48
R. McLeod (31), B. Byram (20)
BUF 1–0 FLA
2nd period
- 13:51
B. Marchand (26), S. Bennett (25)
BUF 1–1 FLA
3rd period
- 11:38
J. Norris (12), N. Ostlund (10)
BUF 2–1 FLA - 18:43
T. Thompson (31), A. Tuch (27)
BUF 3–1 FLA - 19:25BUF 3–2 FLA
Team comparison
| BUF | Stat | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| 39 | Shots | 29 |
| 1 | Power play | 1 |
| 14 | Hits | 20 |
| 18 | Blocked shots | 16 |
| 6 | PIM | 4 |
