Sat, Mar 7, 2026
10:30 PM
FinalRegular season
KeyBank Center
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
NSH 31%69% BUF
Probable score
3 - 4
Regulation win (home)
65%
OT / shootout probability
13%
Elo home / away
1538 / 1460
Likely goal scorers
2/6 correct
Tage Thompson0.48 goal · 38%1
Filip Forsberg0.42 goal · 34%0
Alex Tuch0.37 goal · 31%0
Josh Norris0.36 goal · 30%0
Jason Zucker0.36 goal · 30%1
Steven Stamkos0.29 goal · 25%0Likely goal scorers
2/6 correctTage Thompson0.48 goal · 38%1Filip Forsberg0.42 goal · 34%0Alex Tuch0.37 goal · 31%0Josh Norris0.36 goal · 30%0Jason Zucker0.36 goal · 30%1Steven Stamkos0.29 goal · 25%0Likely assists
3/6 correct
Rasmus Dahlin0.46 assist · 37%1Josh Norris0.29 assist · 26%1
Ryan McLeod0.29 assist · 25%0
Jack Quinn0.28 assist · 24%1Tage Thompson0.26 assist · 23%0
Bowen Byram0.26 assist · 23%0Likely point getters
5/6 correctTage Thompson0.75 point · 53%1Rasmus Dahlin0.70 point · 50%1Josh Norris0.66 point · 48%1Alex Tuch0.61 point · 46%1Filip Forsberg0.60 point · 45%0
Ryan O'Reilly0.53 point · 41%1Tonight's matchup
| NSH | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | G | 40 |
| 35 | A | 41 |
| 75 | PTS | 81 |
| 16.3% | S% | 14.7% |
| 18.9 | TOI | 19.2 |
NSH 3 – 2 BUF · goal diff (home) -0.40
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
2nd period
- 01:17
J. Marchessault (8), R. O'Reilly (38)
NSH 1–0 BUF - 12:39
A. Tuch (29)
NSH 1–1 BUF - 14:17
J. Quinn (27), R. Dahlin (42)
NSH 1–2 BUF
3rd period
- 00:16BUFJ. Doan(19)
J. Norris (14), N. Ostlund (13)
NSH 1–3 BUF - 16:08
R. Josi (32), S. Stamkos (20)
NSH 2–3 BUF
Team comparison
| NSH | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Shots | 24 |
| 1 | Power play | — |
| 15 | Hits | 20 |
| 11 | Blocked shots | 17 |
| 6 | PIM | 8 |
