Thu, Mar 5, 2026
12:00 AM
FinalRegular season
PPG Paints Arena
Retroactive prediction
Wrong winner predicted
BUF 43%57% PIT
Probable score
3 - 4
Regulation win (home)
53%
OT / shootout probability
15%
Elo home / away
1511 / 1533
1 injured/absent player(s) excluded from predictions.
Likely goal scorers
2/6 correct
Tage Thompson0.32 goal · 28%0
Rickard Rakell0.31 goal · 27%0
Egor Chinakhov0.30 goal · 26%0
Ben Kindel0.28 goal · 25%0
Bryan Rust0.28 goal · 24%1
Alex Tuch0.28 goal · 24%1Likely goal scorers
2/6 correctTage Thompson0.32 goal · 28%0Rickard Rakell0.31 goal · 27%0Egor Chinakhov0.30 goal · 26%0Ben Kindel0.28 goal · 25%0Bryan Rust0.28 goal · 24%1Alex Tuch0.28 goal · 24%1Likely assists
0/6 correct
Evgeni Malkin0.37 assist · 31%0
Rasmus Dahlin0.31 assist · 27%0
Erik Karlsson0.27 assist · 24%0
Ryan McLeod0.24 assist · 21%0Bryan Rust0.20 assist · 19%0
Anthony Mantha0.19 assist · 18%0Likely point getters
2/6 correctEvgeni Malkin0.57 point · 44%0Tage Thompson0.49 point · 39%1Bryan Rust0.48 point · 38%1Rasmus Dahlin0.47 point · 38%0Egor Chinakhov0.46 point · 37%0Rickard Rakell0.44 point · 36%0Tonight's matchup
| BUF | Stat | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | G | 29 |
| 41 | A | 45 |
| 81 | PTS | 74 |
| 14.7% | S% | 18.1% |
| 19.2 | TOI | 19.2 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 12:00BUF 1–0 PIT
- 14:48
B. Kindel (15)
BUF 1–1 PIT
2nd period
- 04:10
J. Doan (23), B. Byram (22)
BUF 2–1 PIT - 06:18
O. Power (15), T. Thompson (32)
BUF 3–1 PIT - 10:30BUFO. Power(6)
J. Norris (13), N. Ostlund (12)
BUF 4–1 PIT
3rd period
- 16:53BUF 5–1 PIT
Team comparison
| BUF | Stat | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | Shots | 28 |
| 1 | Power play | — |
| 20 | Hits | 18 |
| 11 | Blocked shots | 11 |
| 10 | PIM | 23 |
