Tue, Mar 3, 2026
12:00 AM
FinalRegular season
KeyBank Center
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
VGK 36%64% BUF
Probable score
3 - 4
Regulation win (home)
66%
OT / shootout probability
13%
Elo home / away
1531 / 1537
Likely goal scorers
3/6 correct
Tage Thompson0.53 goal · 41%1
Josh Norris0.41 goal · 34%0
Alex Tuch0.39 goal · 32%0
Jack Eichel0.31 goal · 26%0
Pavel Dorofeyev0.30 goal · 26%1
Jason Zucker0.30 goal · 26%1Likely goal scorers
3/6 correctTage Thompson0.53 goal · 41%1Josh Norris0.41 goal · 34%0Alex Tuch0.39 goal · 32%0Jack Eichel0.31 goal · 26%0Pavel Dorofeyev0.30 goal · 26%1Jason Zucker0.30 goal · 26%1Likely assists
3/6 correct
Rasmus Dahlin0.41 assist · 34%2Josh Norris0.31 assist · 26%0
Ryan McLeod0.30 assist · 26%1
Bowen Byram0.28 assist · 24%0Jack Eichel0.27 assist · 23%1
Mitch Marner0.26 assist · 23%0Likely point getters
4/6 correctTage Thompson0.78 point · 54%1Josh Norris0.72 point · 51%0Rasmus Dahlin0.66 point · 48%2Jack Eichel0.57 point · 44%1Alex Tuch0.57 point · 44%1
Zach Benson0.46 point · 37%0Tonight's matchup
| VGK | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | G | 40 |
| 63 | A | 41 |
| 90 | PTS | 81 |
| 10.4% | S% | 14.7% |
| 21.2 | TOI | 19.2 |
VGK 1 – 3 BUF · goal diff (home) 1.75
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 04:02
R. McLeod (32), R. Dahlin (40)
VGK 0–1 BUF
2nd period
- 00:46BUFO. Power(5)
N. Ostlund (11)
VGK 0–2 BUF - 05:44
A. Tuch (28), R. Dahlin (41)
VGK 0–3 BUF - 06:50
S. Theodore (21), J. Eichel (48)
VGK 1–3 BUF - 08:27
R. Smith (9)
VGK 2–3 BUF
Team comparison
| VGK | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | Shots | 28 |
| 28 | Hits | 15 |
| 10 | Blocked shots | 10 |
| 2 | PIM | 2 |
