Tue, Mar 10, 2026
11:00 PM
FinalRegular season
KeyBank Center
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
SJS 24%76% BUF
Probable score
3 - 5
Regulation win (home)
71%
OT / shootout probability
11%
Elo home / away
1542 / 1387
1 injured/absent player(s) excluded from predictions.
Likely goal scorers
3/6 correct
Alex Tuch0.57 goal · 43%1
Tage Thompson0.54 goal · 42%0
Jason Zucker0.45 goal · 36%1
Josh Doan0.36 goal · 30%0
Josh Norris0.36 goal · 30%0
Macklin Celebrini0.33 goal · 28%1Likely goal scorers
3/6 correctAlex Tuch0.57 goal · 43%1Tage Thompson0.54 goal · 42%0Jason Zucker0.45 goal · 36%1Josh Doan0.36 goal · 30%0Josh Norris0.36 goal · 30%0Macklin Celebrini0.33 goal · 28%1Likely assists
3/6 correct
Rasmus Dahlin0.56 assist · 43%3Tage Thompson0.40 assist · 33%0
Bowen Byram0.39 assist · 32%0Josh Norris0.34 assist · 29%0
Ryan McLeod0.31 assist · 27%3
Jack Quinn0.30 assist · 26%1Likely point getters
4/6 correctTage Thompson0.94 point · 61%0Rasmus Dahlin0.84 point · 57%3Alex Tuch0.80 point · 55%1Josh Norris0.70 point · 50%0Macklin Celebrini0.59 point · 45%1Jason Zucker0.58 point · 44%2Tonight's matchup
| SJS | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 45 | G | 40 |
| 70 | A | 41 |
| 115 | PTS | 81 |
| 15.7% | S% | 14.7% |
| 21.3 | TOI | 19.2 |
SJS 1 – 3 BUF · goal diff (home) 1.00
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 04:12BUFJ. Quinn(13)
J. Zucker (16), R. McLeod (34)
SJS 0–1 BUF - 05:39BUFA. Tuch(28)
R. Dahlin (45), M. Samuelsson (24)
SJS 0–2 BUF - 12:54
W. Smith (26)
SJS 1–2 BUF
2nd period
- 04:59
P. Krebs (21), R. Dahlin (46)
SJS 1–3 BUF - 08:51
J. Quinn (28), O. Power (16)
SJS 1–4 BUF - 19:29
M. Ferraro (11), A. Wennberg (28)
SJS 2–4 BUF
3rd period
- 00:42BUFJ. Quinn(14)
R. McLeod (35), R. Dahlin (47)
SJS 2–5 BUF - 06:56
T. Toffoli (24)
SJS 3–5 BUF - 17:14
R. McLeod (36)
SJS 3–6 BUF
Team comparison
| SJS | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Shots | 26 |
| 1 | Power play | — |
| 23 | Hits | 21 |
| 16 | Blocked shots | 14 |
| 24 | PIM | 18 |
