Sat, Feb 28, 2026
09:00 PM
FinalRegular season
SAP Center at San Jose
Retroactive prediction
Wrong winner predicted
EDM 71%29% SJS
Probable score
5 - 3
Regulation win (home)
20%
OT / shootout probability
12%
Elo home / away
1380 / 1547
1 injured/absent player(s) excluded from predictions.
Likely goal scorers
3/6 correct
Leon Draisaitl0.55 goal · 42%1
Zach Hyman0.46 goal · 37%0
Connor McDavid0.42 goal · 35%0
Evan Bouchard0.33 goal · 28%1
Pavol Regenda0.26 goal · 23%0
Macklin Celebrini0.25 goal · 22%1Likely goal scorers
3/6 correctLeon Draisaitl0.55 goal · 42%1Zach Hyman0.46 goal · 37%0Connor McDavid0.42 goal · 35%0Evan Bouchard0.33 goal · 28%1Pavol Regenda0.26 goal · 23%0Macklin Celebrini0.25 goal · 22%1Likely assists
3/6 correctConnor McDavid0.62 assist · 46%3Evan Bouchard0.60 assist · 45%2Leon Draisaitl0.59 assist · 45%0
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins0.30 assist · 26%0
Mattias Ekholm0.27 assist · 24%1Macklin Celebrini0.27 assist · 24%0Likely point getters
4/6 correctLeon Draisaitl1.14 point · 68%1Connor McDavid1.04 point · 65%3Evan Bouchard0.93 point · 61%3Zach Hyman0.66 point · 48%0Ryan Nugent-Hopkins0.55 point · 42%0Macklin Celebrini0.52 point · 40%1Tonight's matchup
| EDM | Stat | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| 48 | G | 45 |
| 90 | A | 70 |
| 138 | PTS | 115 |
| 15.7% | S% | 15.7% |
| 23.0 | TOI | 21.3 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 08:34
W. Smith (23)
EDM 0–1 SJS - 11:07
T. Toffoli (22)
EDM 0–2 SJS - 14:51
C. McDavid (66), E. Bouchard (51)
EDM 1–2 SJS - 17:05
Z. Ostapchuk (2), J. Klingberg (11)
EDM 1–3 SJS
2nd period
- 15:49
C. McDavid (67), M. Ekholm (25)
EDM 2–3 SJS
3rd period
- 02:54
M. Savoie (14)
EDM 3–3 SJS - 05:30
P. Kurashev (11), M. Ferraro (10)
EDM 3–4 SJS - 07:13
C. McDavid (68), E. Bouchard (52)
EDM 4–4 SJS - 09:27
W. Eklund (25), M. Misa (8)
EDM 4–5 SJS
Team comparison
| EDM | Stat | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Shots | 33 |
| 1 | Power play | 1 |
| 24 | Hits | 22 |
| 10 | Blocked shots | 15 |
| 4 | PIM | 6 |
