Sabres 5 - 4 Maple Leafs — Recap

Thu, Oct 15, 2026

11:00 PM

FinalRegular season

Scotiabank Arena

BUF

5–4

OT

TOR

OW L L W OL

W OW L L W OL

L W OL L W OW L L W OL

L W OL OW L

L W OL OW L W

L W OL OW L W L L L L

Predictions

Correct winner predicted

BUF 51%49% TOR

Probable score

4 - 4

Regulation win (home)

42%

OT / shootout probability

15%

Elo home / away

1485 / 1542

10 injured/absent player(s) excluded from predictions.

Likely goal scorers

3/6 correct

0.60 goal · 45%1

0.52 goal · 40%0

0.52 goal · 40%0

0.40 goal · 33%0

0.36 goal · 30%2

0.33 goal · 28%3

Likely goal scorers

3/6 correct

0.60 goal · 45%1

0.52 goal · 40%0

0.52 goal · 40%0

0.40 goal · 33%0

0.36 goal · 30%2

0.33 goal · 28%3

Likely assists

2/6 correct

0.61 assist · 46%0

0.48 assist · 38%0

0.42 assist · 34%0

0.34 assist · 29%0

0.33 assist · 28%1

0.32 assist · 27%2

Likely point getters

4/6 correct

1.13 point · 68%0

1.08 point · 66%1

0.77 point · 54%1

0.75 point · 53%3

0.72 point · 51%2

0.52 point · 40%0

Tonight's matchup

Tage Thompson

BUF · C · 16 GP

vs

Auston Matthews

TOR · C · 17 GP

BUF	Stat	TOR
10	G	11
9	A	15
19	PTS	26
14.7%	S%	21.6%
19.4	TOI	20.6

BUF 3 – 4 TOR · goal diff (home) 0.57

Mar 14TOR2–3BUFSO2025-26 Jan 27BUF7–4TOR2025-26 Oct 25BUF3–4TOROT2025-26 Oct 24TOR3–5BUF2025-26 Apr 15TOR4–0BUF2024-25 Dec 20TOR6–3BUF2024-25 Dec 15BUF3–5TOR2024-25

Result

Three stars

1

K. Marchenko

R · TOR

3G · 0A · 3P

2

J. Quinn

R · BUF

2G · 2A · 4P

3

O. Power

D · BUF

1G · 0A · 1P

Scoring summary

1st period

02:24
TORA. Matthews(6)
J. Roslovic (3)
BUF 0–1 TOR
03:35
BUFJ. Quinn(3)TYING
Z. Benson (4), Z. Metsa (2)
BUF 1–1 TOR
13:10
TORK. Marchenko(2)PP
J. Tavares (4), D. Raddysh (4)
BUF 1–2 TOR

2nd period

02:41
BUFJ. Quinn(4)TYING
N. Ostlund (3), M. Samuelsson (4)
BUF 2–2 TOR
11:13
TORK. Marchenko(3)
J. Tavares (5)
BUF 2–3 TOR
16:51
TORK. Marchenko(4)
C. Sissons (1), E. Cowan (3)
BUF 2–4 TOR

3rd period

10:05
BUFD. Gilbert(1)
J. Quinn (3), Z. Benson (5)
BUF 3–4 TOR
12:16
BUFM. Samuelsson(2)TYING
T. Thompson (4)
BUF 4–4 TOR

Overtime 1

03:14
BUFO. Power(2)
J. Quinn (4), N. Ostlund (4)
BUF 5–4 TOR

Team comparison

BUF	Stat	TOR
35	Shots	30
—	Power play	1
21	Hits	25
4	Blocked shots	10
13	PIM	11

Actual result

Goal scorers(6)

Kirill MarchenkoTOR3

Jack QuinnBUF2

Mattias SamuelssonBUF1

Owen PowerBUF1

Dennis GilbertBUF1

Auston MatthewsTOR1

Predictions

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(6)

Goal scorers(6)

Assists(11)

Points(15)