Islanders 1 - 2 Maple Leafs — Recap

Wed, Sep 30, 2026

11:30 PM

FinalRegular season

Scotiabank Arena

NYI

1–2

TOR

L W L L L

L L W L L L

W W L L L L W L L L

L L L L L

L L L L L L

L L L L L L OL L OW L

Predictions

Wrong winner predicted

NYI 52%48% TOR

Probable score

2 - 1

Regulation win (home)

29%

OT / shootout probability

24%

Elo home / away

1480 / 1477

Likely goal scorers

0/6 correct

0.44 goal · 36%0

0.29 goal · 26%0

0.22 goal · 20%0

0.20 goal · 19%0

0.20 goal · 18%0

0.20 goal · 18%0

Likely goal scorers

0/6 correct

0.44 goal · 36%0

0.29 goal · 26%0

0.22 goal · 20%0

0.20 goal · 19%0

0.20 goal · 18%0

0.20 goal · 18%0

Likely assists

0/6 correct

0.37 assist · 31%0

0.22 assist · 20%0

0.22 assist · 20%0

0.18 assist · 16%0

0.17 assist · 16%0

0.16 assist · 15%0

Likely point getters

0/6 correct

0.60 point · 45%0

0.44 point · 36%0

0.42 point · 34%0

0.41 point · 34%0

0.39 point · 33%0

0.36 point · 30%0

Tonight's matchup

Bo Horvat

NYI · C · 13 GP

Auston Matthews

TOR · C · 15 GP

NYI	Stat	TOR
7	G	10
7	A	13
14	PTS	23
17.1%	S%	22.7%
21.1	TOI	20.6

NYI 4 – 2 TOR · goal diff (home) -0.83

Apr 9TOR3–5NYI2025-26 Mar 17NYI3–1TOR2025-26 Jan 3TOR3–4NYIOT2025-26 Jan 2TOR2–1NYI2024-25 Dec 31NYI1–3TOR2024-25 Dec 21NYI6–3TOR2024-25

Result

Three stars

A. Stolarz

G · TOR

0G · 0A · 0P

E. Cowan

R · TOR

1G · 1A · 2P

C. Sissons

C · TOR

1G · 0A · 1P

Scoring summary

1st period

07:14
TORC. Sissons(1)
N. Paul (1), E. Cowan (2)
NYI 0–1 TOR
11:55
TORE. Cowan(1)PP
J. Roslovic (1), M. Rielly (2)
NYI 0–2 TOR

3rd period

14:09
NYIE. Heineman(1)SH
B. Horvat (1)
NYI 1–2 TOR

Team comparison

NYI	Stat	TOR
27	Shots	26
—	Power play	1
24	Hits	19
11	Blocked shots	21
8	PIM	8

Actual result

Predictions

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(3)

Goal scorers(3)

Assists(5)

Points(7)