Tue, Mar 31, 2026
11:00 PM
FinalRegular season
KeyBank Center
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
NYI 30%70% BUF
Probable score
2 - 4
Regulation win (home)
69%
OT / shootout probability
13%
Elo home / away
1545 / 1487
1 injured/absent player(s) excluded from predictions.
Likely goal scorers
1/6 correct
Tage Thompson0.48 goal · 38%1
Jason Zucker0.47 goal · 38%0
Alex Tuch0.40 goal · 33%0
Rasmus Dahlin0.32 goal · 28%0
Zach Benson0.30 goal · 26%0
Josh Doan0.28 goal · 25%0Likely goal scorers
1/6 correctTage Thompson0.48 goal · 38%1Jason Zucker0.47 goal · 38%0Alex Tuch0.40 goal · 33%0Rasmus Dahlin0.32 goal · 28%0Zach Benson0.30 goal · 26%0Josh Doan0.28 goal · 25%0Likely assists
2/6 correctRasmus Dahlin0.47 assist · 38%0Zach Benson0.33 assist · 28%0Tage Thompson0.30 assist · 26%1
Ryan McLeod0.28 assist · 24%0
Mathew Barzal0.28 assist · 24%1
Bowen Byram0.27 assist · 24%0Likely point getters
3/6 correctRasmus Dahlin0.80 point · 55%0Tage Thompson0.79 point · 54%2Jason Zucker0.64 point · 47%0Zach Benson0.63 point · 47%0Alex Tuch0.57 point · 43%1
Josh Norris0.53 point · 41%2Tonight's matchup
| NYI | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | G | 40 |
| 53 | A | 41 |
| 72 | PTS | 81 |
| 10.3% | S% | 14.7% |
| 20.7 | TOI | 19.2 |
Result
Scoring summary
1st period
- 14:19
J. Norris (16)
NYI 0–1 BUF
2nd period
- 17:57
B. Schenn (21), B. Horvat (23)
NYI 1–1 BUF
3rd period
- 02:40
J. Norris (17), J. Quinn (31)
NYI 1–2 BUF - 13:39
B. Horvat (24), M. Schaefer (35)
NYI 2–2 BUF - 16:59BUFP. Krebs(11)
A. Tuch (31), T. Thompson (40)
NYI 2–3 BUF - 18:17
M. Samuelsson (28)
NYI 2–4 BUF - 19:59
M. Barzal (49), B. Horvat (25)
NYI 3–4 BUF
Team comparison
| NYI | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | Shots | 33 |
| 1 | Power play | 2 |
| 26 | Hits | 25 |
| 10 | Blocked shots | 15 |
| 15 | PIM | 13 |
