Thu, Mar 19, 2026
02:00 AM
FinalRegular season
SAP Center at San Jose
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
BUF 70%30% SJS
Probable score
4 - 3
Regulation win (home)
20%
OT / shootout probability
12%
Elo home / away
1391 / 1546
1 injured/absent player(s) excluded from predictions.
Likely goal scorers
1/6 correct
Alex Tuch0.59 goal · 45%0
Tage Thompson0.44 goal · 36%1
Macklin Celebrini0.38 goal · 31%0
Jason Zucker0.37 goal · 31%0
Jack Quinn0.36 goal · 30%0
Josh Doan0.27 goal · 24%0Likely goal scorers
1/6 correctAlex Tuch0.59 goal · 45%0Tage Thompson0.44 goal · 36%1Macklin Celebrini0.38 goal · 31%0Jason Zucker0.37 goal · 31%0Jack Quinn0.36 goal · 30%0Josh Doan0.27 goal · 24%0Likely assists
1/6 correct
Rasmus Dahlin0.57 assist · 43%1
Ryan McLeod0.38 assist · 32%0Tage Thompson0.30 assist · 26%0
Bowen Byram0.28 assist · 24%0Macklin Celebrini0.24 assist · 22%0Jack Quinn0.23 assist · 21%0Likely point getters
3/6 correctAlex Tuch0.82 point · 56%1Rasmus Dahlin0.78 point · 54%2Tage Thompson0.74 point · 52%1Macklin Celebrini0.62 point · 46%0Jack Quinn0.59 point · 45%0Ryan McLeod0.57 point · 43%0Tonight's matchup
| BUF | Stat | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | G | 45 |
| 41 | A | 70 |
| 81 | PTS | 115 |
| 14.7% | S% | 15.7% |
| 19.2 | TOI | 21.3 |
BUF 4 – 1 SJS · goal diff (home) -1.40
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
2nd period
- 09:05
J. Doan (24), L. Stanley (13)
BUF 1–0 SJS - 09:41
R. Dahlin (48), Z. Benson (23)
BUF 2–0 SJS - 10:48
J. Zucker (17), M. Samuelsson (26)
BUF 3–0 SJS
3rd period
- 00:40
P. Krebs (23), A. Tuch (30)
BUF 4–0 SJS - 16:54
L. Stanley (14), Z. Metsa (3)
BUF 5–0 SJS
Team comparison
| BUF | Stat | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Shots | 23 |
| 14 | Hits | 27 |
| 14 | Blocked shots | 16 |
| 4 | PIM | 4 |
