Sat, Apr 11, 2026
11:00 PM
FinalRegular season
Scotiabank Arena
Retroactive prediction
Wrong winner predicted
FLA 48%52% TOR
Probable score
3 - 4
Regulation win (home)
44%
OT / shootout probability
15%
Elo home / away
1485 / 1513
9 injured/absent player(s) excluded from predictions.
Likely goal scorers
3/6 correct
John Tavares0.53 goal · 41%0
William Nylander0.42 goal · 34%2
Matthew Knies0.40 goal · 33%0
A.J. Greer0.25 goal · 22%1
Mackie Samoskevich0.23 goal · 20%1
Nicholas Robertson0.17 goal · 16%0Likely goal scorers
3/6 correctJohn Tavares0.53 goal · 41%0William Nylander0.42 goal · 34%2Matthew Knies0.40 goal · 33%0A.J. Greer0.25 goal · 22%1Mackie Samoskevich0.23 goal · 20%1Nicholas Robertson0.17 goal · 16%0Likely assists
1/6 correct
Luke Haymes0.51 assist · 40%0
Wilmer Skoog0.45 assist · 36%0William Nylander0.45 assist · 36%0John Tavares0.36 assist · 30%1
Matias Maccelli0.34 assist · 29%0Matthew Knies0.30 assist · 26%0Likely point getters
2/6 correctJohn Tavares0.89 point · 59%1William Nylander0.87 point · 58%2Matthew Knies0.70 point · 50%0Luke Haymes0.55 point · 42%0Wilmer Skoog0.51 point · 40%0Matias Maccelli0.47 point · 37%0Tonight's matchup
| FLA | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | G | 30 |
| 32 | A | 49 |
| 61 | PTS | 79 |
| 17.5% | S% | 19.2% |
| 21.3 | TOI | 19.4 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 00:23
M. Samoskevich (18)
FLA 1–0 TOR - 05:32
D. Sebrango (6), V. Hinostroza (11)
FLA 2–0 TOR
2nd period
- 01:32FLAT. Nosek(1)
M. Alscher (1)
FLA 3–0 TOR - 10:55
J. Tavares (40), E. Cowan (17)
FLA 3–1 TOR - 13:16FLA 3–2 TOR
3rd period
- 04:13
A. Greer (15), E. Luostarinen (20)
FLA 4–2 TOR - 15:56
E. Luostarinen (21), M. Samoskevich (19)
FLA 5–2 TOR - 18:07
N. Gregor (4)
FLA 6–2 TOR
Team comparison
| FLA | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Shots | 19 |
| — | Power play | 1 |
| 23 | Hits | 26 |
| 15 | Blocked shots | 14 |
| 2 | PIM | 0 |
