Fri, Mar 20, 2026
11:00 PM
FinalRegular season
Scotiabank Arena
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
CAR 56%44% TOR
Probable score
4 - 3
Regulation win (home)
35%
OT / shootout probability
15%
Elo home / away
1502 / 1572
2 injured/absent player(s) excluded from predictions.
Likely goal scorers
2/6 correct
William Nylander0.44 goal · 36%1
Sebastian Aho0.34 goal · 29%0
John Tavares0.33 goal · 28%1
Seth Jarvis0.31 goal · 26%0
Matthew Knies0.28 goal · 24%0
Logan Stankoven0.27 goal · 24%0Likely goal scorers
2/6 correctWilliam Nylander0.44 goal · 36%1Sebastian Aho0.34 goal · 29%0John Tavares0.33 goal · 28%1Seth Jarvis0.31 goal · 26%0Matthew Knies0.28 goal · 24%0Logan Stankoven0.27 goal · 24%0Likely assists
1/6 correctSebastian Aho0.34 assist · 29%2William Nylander0.32 assist · 28%0Matthew Knies0.32 assist · 28%0
Nikolaj Ehlers0.31 assist · 27%0John Tavares0.26 assist · 23%0
Andrei Svechnikov0.23 assist · 21%0Likely point getters
4/6 correctWilliam Nylander0.76 point · 53%1Sebastian Aho0.68 point · 49%2Matthew Knies0.60 point · 45%0John Tavares0.59 point · 44%1Seth Jarvis0.53 point · 41%2Nikolaj Ehlers0.53 point · 41%0Tonight's matchup
| CAR | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | G | 30 |
| 53 | A | 49 |
| 80 | PTS | 79 |
| 13.8% | S% | 19.2% |
| 19.6 | TOI | 19.4 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 11:48TORD. Joshua(9)
B. Groulx (2), M. Maccelli (20)
CAR 0–1 TOR
2nd period
- 05:57
S. Jarvis (27), S. Aho (46)
CAR 1–1 TOR - 12:35CAR 2–1 TOR
- 13:47
C. Jarnkrok (2), J. McCabe (18)
CAR 2–2 TOR - 17:40CAR 3–2 TOR
3rd period
- 13:50
M. Maccelli (21)
CAR 3–3 TOR
Overtime 1
- 00:41
S. Jarvis (28), S. Aho (47)
CAR 4–3 TOR
Team comparison
| CAR | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 36 | Shots | 26 |
| 1 | Power play | — |
| 20 | Hits | 21 |
| 11 | Blocked shots | 21 |
| 4 | PIM | 10 |
