Penguins 4 - 5 Hurricanes — Recap

Tue, Mar 10, 2026

11:00 PM

FinalRegular season

Lenovo Center

PIT

4–5

SO

CAR

W L L OL OW

OL W L L OL OW

L OL W W OL W L L OL OW

L W W L W

L W W L W W

L W W L W W W W OW OL

Retroactive prediction

Correct winner predicted

PIT 35%65% CAR

Probable score

3 - 4

Regulation win (home)

57%

OT / shootout probability

14%

Elo home / away

1577 / 1506

1 injured/absent player(s) excluded from predictions.

Likely goal scorers

2/6 correct

0.37 goal · 31%1

0.34 goal · 29%0

0.33 goal · 28%0

0.30 goal · 26%0

0.28 goal · 24%0

0.26 goal · 23%1

Likely goal scorers

2/6 correct

0.37 goal · 31%1

0.34 goal · 29%0

0.33 goal · 28%0

0.30 goal · 26%0

0.28 goal · 24%0

0.26 goal · 23%1

Likely assists

3/6 correct

0.42 assist · 34%1

0.37 assist · 31%0

0.30 assist · 26%1

0.29 assist · 25%0

0.28 assist · 24%1

0.26 assist · 23%0

Likely point getters

5/6 correct

0.74 point · 53%1

0.72 point · 51%1

0.64 point · 47%1

0.61 point · 46%1

0.46 point · 37%1

0.46 point · 37%0

Tonight's matchup

Erik Karlsson

PIT · D · 75 GP

vs

Sebastian Aho

CAR · C · 79 GP

PIT	Stat	CAR
15	G	27
51	A	53
66	PTS	80
8.5%	S%	13.8%
23.6	TOI	19.6

PIT 3 – 5 CAR · goal diff (home) 0.38

Dec 30CAR1–5PIT2025-26 Jan 5PIT3–4CAROT2024-25 Nov 7PIT1–5CAR2024-25 Oct 18CAR4–1PIT2024-25 Mar 26CAR1–4PIT2023-24 Jan 13PIT2–3CAROT2023-24 Dec 21CAR1–2PITSO2023-24 Nov 18PIT2–4CAR2023-24

Result

Three stars

1

A. Nikishin

D · CAR

1G · 1A · 2P

2

S. Jarvis

C · CAR

1G · 0A · 1P

3

L. Stankoven

C · CAR

1G · 0A · 1P

Scoring summary

1st period

07:46
CARL. Stankoven(12)
M. Reilly (7), J. Blake (21)
PIT 0–1 CAR
19:04
PITA. Mantha(24)TYING
V. Koivunen (5)
PIT 1–1 CAR

2nd period

11:44
PITB. Rust(22)PP
E. Chinakhov (10), E. Karlsson (37)
PIT 2–1 CAR

3rd period

02:49
CARM. Jankowski(6)TYING
W. Carrier (8), A. Nikishin (16)
PIT 2–2 CAR
03:48
CARS. Jarvis(28)
A. Svechnikov (33)
PIT 2–3 CAR
11:21
CARA. Nikishin(9)PP
S. Aho (43), N. Ehlers (31)
PIT 2–4 CAR
17:52
PITN. Acciari(7)
B. Rust (26), E. Chinakhov (11)
PIT 3–4 CAR
19:24
PITB. Rust(23)TYING
R. Rakell (17), E. Karlsson (38)
PIT 4–4 CAR

Shootout

00:00
CARJ. Blake
PIT 4–5 CAR

Team comparison

PIT	Stat	CAR
28	Shots	44
1	Power play	1
16	Hits	28
20	Blocked shots	14
12	PIM	12

Actual result

Goal scorers(7)

Bryan RustPIT2

Mark JankowskiCAR1

Alexander NikishinCAR1

Retroactive prediction

Likely goal scorers

Likely goal scorers

Likely assists

Likely point getters

Tonight's matchup

Result

Three stars

Scoring summary

Team comparison

Actual result

Goal scorers(7)

Goal scorers(7)

Assists(12)

Points(17)