Sun, Nov 9, 2025
12:00 AM
FinalRegular season
Scotiabank Arena
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
CAR 55%45% TOR
Probable score
4 - 3
Regulation win (home)
33%
OT / shootout probability
14%
Elo home / away
1544 / 1574
Likely goal scorers
5/6 correct
Auston Matthews0.11 goal · 10%1
William Nylander0.10 goal · 10%2
John Tavares0.10 goal · 9%1
Seth Jarvis0.08 goal · 8%1
Sebastian Aho0.08 goal · 7%1
Matthew Knies0.06 goal · 6%0Likely goal scorers
5/6 correctAuston Matthews0.11 goal · 10%1William Nylander0.10 goal · 10%2John Tavares0.10 goal · 9%1Seth Jarvis0.08 goal · 8%1Sebastian Aho0.08 goal · 7%1Matthew Knies0.06 goal · 6%0Likely assists
3/6 correctWilliam Nylander0.11 assist · 10%0Matthew Knies0.08 assist · 8%2
Morgan Rielly0.08 assist · 8%1John Tavares0.07 assist · 7%1Sebastian Aho0.07 assist · 7%0
Oliver Ekman-Larsson0.05 assist · 5%0Likely point getters
6/6 correctWilliam Nylander0.21 point · 19%2John Tavares0.17 point · 16%2Auston Matthews0.15 point · 14%2Sebastian Aho0.15 point · 14%1Matthew Knies0.14 point · 13%2Seth Jarvis0.12 point · 11%1Tonight's matchup
| CAR | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | G | 30 |
| 53 | A | 49 |
| 80 | PTS | 79 |
| 13.8% | S% | 19.2% |
| 19.6 | TOI | 19.4 |
CAR 4 – 2 TOR · goal diff (home) 0.00
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 05:00
M. Knies (14), M. Rielly (11)
CAR 0–1 TOR - 08:34
N. Ehlers (6), K. Miller (5)
CAR 1–1 TOR - 14:31
A. Svechnikov (3), A. Nikishin (6)
CAR 2–1 TOR - 15:31
B. McMann (3), N. Robertson (5)
CAR 2–2 TOR - 19:01
J. Tavares (12), A. Matthews (5)
CAR 2–3 TOR
2nd period
- 11:03
J. McCabe (7), M. Knies (15)
CAR 2–4 TOR - 16:51CARS. Walker(4)
W. Carrier (3)
CAR 3–4 TOR
3rd period
- 03:20
J. Blake (7), L. Stankoven (4)
CAR 4–4 TOR - 12:13
K. Miller (6), N. Ehlers (7)
CAR 5–4 TOR
Team comparison
| CAR | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 47 | Shots | 20 |
| 1 | Power play | 1 |
| 13 | Hits | 21 |
| 9 | Blocked shots | 23 |
| 8 | PIM | 10 |
