Wed, Nov 5, 2025
12:00 AM
FinalRegular season
Scotiabank Arena
Retroactive prediction
Correct winner predicted
UTA 49%51% TOR
Probable score
4 - 3
Regulation win (home)
37%
OT / shootout probability
15%
Elo home / away
1545 / 1511
Likely goal scorers
4/6 correct
Auston Matthews0.09 goal · 8%1
Logan Cooley0.09 goal · 8%0
William Nylander0.08 goal · 8%1
John Tavares0.07 goal · 7%1
Dylan Guenther0.07 goal · 7%1
Nick Schmaltz0.07 goal · 6%0Likely goal scorers
4/6 correctAuston Matthews0.09 goal · 8%1Logan Cooley0.09 goal · 8%0William Nylander0.08 goal · 8%1John Tavares0.07 goal · 7%1Dylan Guenther0.07 goal · 7%1Nick Schmaltz0.07 goal · 6%0Likely assists
3/6 correctWilliam Nylander0.10 assist · 9%1
Matthew Knies0.09 assist · 8%1
Clayton Keller0.07 assist · 7%0John Tavares0.06 assist · 6%1
Mikhail Sergachev0.06 assist · 6%0Dylan Guenther0.05 assist · 5%0Likely point getters
4/6 correctWilliam Nylander0.18 point · 17%2Matthew Knies0.14 point · 13%2Auston Matthews0.14 point · 13%1John Tavares0.14 point · 13%2Logan Cooley0.13 point · 12%0Clayton Keller0.13 point · 12%0Tonight's matchup
| UTA | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 26 | G | 30 |
| 62 | A | 49 |
| 88 | PTS | 79 |
| 11.6% | S% | 19.2% |
| 19.1 | TOI | 19.4 |
| Stat | UTA | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Corsi % | 52.3% | 46.2% |
| xG % | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| xGF / g | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| xGA / g | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| HDCF / g | 19.15 | 18.47 |
| Sample | 13 | 15 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 18:49
L. Crouse (2)
UTA 1–0 TOR
2nd period
- 04:46
M. Knies (13), J. Tavares (11)
UTA 1–1 TOR - 08:56
M. Maccelli (4), J. McCabe (5)
UTA 1–2 TOR - 16:27
D. Simashev (1)
UTA 2–2 TOR
3rd period
- 08:06
B. McMann (2), O. Ekman-Larsson (8)
UTA 2–3 TOR - 15:40
D. Joshua (3), M. Rielly (8)
UTA 2–4 TOR - 17:01
W. Nylander (14), J. McCabe (6)
UTA 2–5 TOR - 18:53
N. Schmidt (3), J. Marino (6)
UTA 3–5 TOR
Team comparison
| UTA | Stat | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Shots | 19 |
| 17 | Hits | 15 |
| 6 | Blocked shots | 8 |
| 2 | PIM | 6 |
