Mon, May 18, 2026
11:30 PM
FinalPlayoffs
KeyBank Center
Retroactive prediction
Wrong winner predicted
MTL 42%58% BUF
Probable score
3 - 4
Regulation win (home)
49%
OT / shootout probability
15%
Elo home / away
1554 / 1529
1 injured/absent player(s) excluded from predictions.
Likely goal scorers
0/6 correct
Cole Caufield0.67 goal · 49%0
Tage Thompson0.61 goal · 46%0
Alex Tuch0.47 goal · 38%0
Josh Norris0.43 goal · 35%0
Nick Suzuki0.38 goal · 32%0
Jason Zucker0.35 goal · 29%0Likely goal scorers
0/6 correctCole Caufield0.67 goal · 49%0Tage Thompson0.61 goal · 46%0Alex Tuch0.47 goal · 38%0Josh Norris0.43 goal · 35%0Nick Suzuki0.38 goal · 32%0Jason Zucker0.35 goal · 29%0Likely assists
2/6 correctNick Suzuki0.56 assist · 43%1
Lane Hutson0.55 assist · 42%1
Rasmus Dahlin0.47 assist · 38%0Josh Norris0.39 assist · 32%0
Juraj Slafkovský0.37 assist · 31%0
Zach Benson0.35 assist · 29%0Likely point getters
2/6 correctCole Caufield0.95 point · 61%0Nick Suzuki0.94 point · 61%1Tage Thompson0.92 point · 60%0Josh Norris0.82 point · 56%0Rasmus Dahlin0.81 point · 56%1Alex Tuch0.73 point · 52%0Tonight's matchup
| MTL | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 29 | G | 40 |
| 72 | A | 41 |
| 101 | PTS | 81 |
| 15.8% | S% | 14.7% |
| 20.8 | TOI | 19.2 |
Result
Three stars
Scoring summary
1st period
- 04:30
K. Guhle (6), A. Texier (4)
MTL 1–0 BUF - 14:29
N. Suzuki (9), L. Hutson (12)
MTL 2–0 BUF
2nd period
- 13:19
M. Samuelsson (4), B. Malenstyn (2)
MTL 2–1 BUF
3rd period
- 06:27
O. Power (6), R. McLeod (4)
MTL 2–2 BUF
Overtime 1
- 11:22
A. Carrier (4)
MTL 3–2 BUF
Team comparison
| MTL | Stat | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Shots | 39 |
| 1 | Power play | — |
| 28 | Hits | 21 |
| 22 | Blocked shots | 11 |
| 2 | PIM | 2 |
